Nationally, the Conservatives lead the Liberals (37% to 26%) followed by the NDP at 20%, the BQ at 10% and the Green Party at 8%.
Yesterday’s attacks on Stephen Harper resulted in negative pressure on the daily impression for him related to trust, competence and vision. However, his best PM score and ballot support for the Tories remained steady.
Tune in to Prime Time Politics with Peter Van Dusen tonight at 8 pm (EST) on CPAC for a discussion of our latest polling results. For more detailed information on the methodology and the statistical results visit the Nanos Research website at http://www.nanosresearch.com.
Methodology and Results
A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters is interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of accuracy is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20 for 1,200 random interviews.
The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the previous Nanos Research Survey completed on September 28, 2008.
Question: If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences? (First ranked reported)
Committed Voters - Canada (N=1,055, MoE ± 3.0%, 19 times out of 20)
- Conservative Party 37 (+1)
- Liberal Party 26 (NC)
- NDP 20 (NC)
- BQ 10% (+1)
- Green Party 8% (-1)
- Undecided 12% (-4)
Question: Of the following individuals, who do you think would make the best Prime Minister? [Rotate] (N=1,201,MoE ± 2.8%, 19 times out of 20)
- Conservative leader Stephen Harper 36% (+1)
- NDP leader Jack Layton 18% (NC)
- Liberal leader Stephane Dion 15% (+1)
- Green Party leader Elizabeth May 5% (+1)
- Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe 4% (NC)
- None of them 7% (-1)
- Unsure 16% (-1)
Question: Which of the federal leaders would you best describe as:
- The most trustworthy leader
- The most competent leader
- The leader with the best vision for Canada’s future
[Leadership Index Score - Daily roll-up of all three measures]
- Stephen Harper 89 (-21)
- Jack Layton 59 (+5)
- Stephane Dion 43 (+8)
- Elizabeth May 20 (+3)
- Gilles Duceppe 16 (NC)
What do you think?
Remember to rate the views of others - to allow us to recognize the opinion leaders in our national conversation.
Individuals with the top ratings make it to Nik’s Leaderboard