The latest Nanos poll completed Wednesday night shows that the Liberals and Conservatives are gripped in a deadlock (LP 35%, CP 33%, NDP 17%, BQ 8%, GP 7%).
Of note, in the province of Quebec, support for the Bloc has decreased by nine points in the last quarter, with the NDP picking up most of that support.
On the best Prime Minister front, Stephen Harper still enjoys a significant advantage over Stephane Dion.
A potential election poses risks for both the Conservatives and the Liberals. Prime Minister Harper seems ready to risk his mandate while his party is tied with the Liberals. Liberal leader Stephane Dion has not been embraced by Canadians.
Polling between August 20th and August 27th, 2008. (Random Telephone Survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age and older). A survey of 1,000 Canadians is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
Ballot Question: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed Voters Only - First Choice)
The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the previous Nanos Research Survey completed in May 2008.
Committed Voters - Canada (N=846, MoE ± 3.4%, 19 times out of 20)
- Liberal Party 35% (+1)
- Conservative Party 33% (NC)
- NDP 17% (+2)
- BQ 8% (-3)
- Green Party 7% (-1)
- (*Note: Undecided 16%)
Committed Voters - Quebec (N=214, MoE ± 6.8%, 19 times out of 20)
- BQ 31% (-9)
- Conservative Party 25% (+2)
- Liberal Party 24% (+2)
- NDP 13% (+8)
- Green Party 7% (-2)
- (*Note: Undecided 14%)
Best PM Question: Of the following individuals, who do you think would make the best Prime Minister? [Read and Rotate]
Canada (N=1,000, MoE ± 3.1%, 19 times out of 20)
- Stephen Harper 36% (+2)
- Jack Layton 17% (+1)
- Stephane Dion 15% (NC)
- Gilles Duceppe 5% (-2)
- Elizabeth May 4% (-3)
- None/ Unsure 23% (NC)
The detailed tables with the regional sub-tabs and methodology are posted on our new polling portal website at: www.nanosresearch.com.
It looks like we are headed to an election. What are your thoughts on what will happen?
Remember to rate the views of others - to allow us to recognize the opinion leaders in our national conversation.
Individuals with the top ratings make it to Nik’s Leaderboard.