Latest Nanos Poll - Federal Deadlock - Tories 35, Grits 34, NDP 17, Bloc 9, Green 6
Earlier this week our research showed Stephen Harper with a commanding 24 point advantage over Stephane Dion on our best Prime Minister tracking. The same survey showed a deadlock between the Conservatives and the Liberals in the ballot box.
Of note, the Tories are up in the province of Quebec and the Liberals are ahead of the Tories by nine points in Ontario. This research shows that the Harper leadership advantage has not converted itself into the ballot box nationally.
In fact, the polling shows what I believe to be two deeper strategic considerations. For the Tories to move the dial, they have to realize they are fighting the Liberal “brand” (especially outside of the province of Quebec). The other striking finding is the dividing line along gender – men are much more likely to support the Tories and women are more likely to support the Liberals.
What do you think are the challenges for the respective parties and party leaders?
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