SES-University at Buffalo Poll of Canadians and Americans - Americans Keen on Co-operation with Canada

45 comments Latest by blossom

A new cross-border survey of Canadians and Americans released by SES Research today found Americans are very supportive of greater co-operation with Canada on issues ranging from an integrated energy policy through to border security and anti-terrorism measures.

“More than eight of ten Americans support greater co-operation with Canada on border security, anti-terrorism measures and having an integrated energy policy,” explained SES President Nikita Nanos. Support for greater co-operation with Canada cut across all regions of the United States. In Canada, however, Quebecers, although still supportive of co-operation with the US, were more likely to have less intense support for co-operation.

The strong area of agreement related to having an integrated energy policy to remove a dependence on Middle East oil. Almost nine of ten Americans thought it was important to have an integrated energy policy (89%) and 85% of Canadians thought the integrated energy policy was important.

What are your views on closer co-operation with the US?

Cheers, NJN

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I love my American cousins. My Dad was born in the Bronx, fought in the Pacific ... more

Pressman (Ontario) 26 Feb 14:07

Hello, Nic: It is not surprising that an overwhelming majority of Americans o... more

halege (Alberta) 26 Feb 14:41

Nik, without a doubt, United States is "family" but their side of the family usu... more

Tom Good (British Columbia) 26 Feb 16:04

I would say the support would be stronger in British Columbia and Washington Sta... more

kwlawson (British Columbia) 26 Feb 17:32

Maybe and I do not have to put up with the Ice and Snow either, I can play Golf ... more

kwlawson (British Columbia) 28 Feb 19:16

Nik your the expert, you can check this out, can a Senator be removed from the S... more

kwlawson (British Columbia) 02 Mar 00:27

Comments

Pressman

I love my American cousins. My Dad was born in the Bronx, fought in the Pacific in WWII, and after the war had the good sense to emigrate to Canada to marry and settle down. But "integration" is a big word. What exactly does it mean in respect to the energy file and what does it mean to your respondents ? We supply the energy and the U-S sets the price? Doesn't the U-S have a lot of "integration" right now, with its big money invested in many Canadian energy sources, including the Tar Sands? We are already the second largest supplier to the U-S. Canada's energy policy should be first and foremost independent and no more integrated with the U-S than Saudi oil. The free market, not politics nor NAFTA, should set the price. Lumping energy into the border and security polling question basket it blurs the issue in my opinion. It's not a yes or no question. It's much more complicated than that.

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26 Feb 14:07

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halege

Hello, Nic:

It is not surprising that an overwhelming majority of Americans or Canadians approve of cooperation on security issues. Such cooperation inherently increases the potential for Americans' domestic security (across a variety of issues), while being inherently preferable to most Canadians who recognize that greater American insecurity and mistrust of Canadian security cooperation is more likely to result in unilateral US actions that work to their disadvantage.

It is interesting to see that a statistically significant percentage of Canadians distinguish between broader foreign policy cooperation and cooperation over border security and anti-terrorism issues. The two cleavages that are most significant are region and education – with Atlantic Canada and the Prairies being more inclined to closer cooperation, and BC being least inclined to that view on all three sets of questions. Interestingly, both Ontario (relatively “pro”) and Quebec (relatively “anti”) are both close to the national average’s margin of error on all three sets of questions, suggesting that issues of “cooperation” are more matters of detail than principle. When positions on “border security” and “anti-terrorism” are compared, they are statistically similar in all jurisdictions – with a slightly greater preference intensity for “much closer” cooperation on anti-terrorism matters. This figure would suggest that there is no particular down-side risk for the government in maintaining a strong position on its anti-terrorism legislation, as long as there are reasonable protections for civil liberties.

The figures on cooperation on “an integrated energy policy” are more suspect and worth probing in greater detail. Canada and the United States currently have a very high degree of market integration for most major energy sources. The degree of policy integration is much smaller, and characterized by “parallel” macro-policies which leave a great deal of room for local, regional and national variations, rather than policy coordination per se. Based on NAFTA and other agreements, both countries broadly respect the principles of non-discrimination against one another’s nationals. It would be interesting to see the extent to which either public (US or Canadian) recognizes either the extent of market integration or the degree to which governments have left considerable room for the market to function without formally coordinating energy policies.

The economic awareness of the Canadian public on these issues is perhaps best reflected by the polling figure from just after Hurricane Katrina that indicated that something around 80% of respondents in Canada were supportive of nationalizing the big oil companies in response to the spike in gasoline prices to $ 1.24 a litre. Aside from the fact that such a policy would have meant buying out foreign investors at the peak of the market (just as the Trudeau government tried to do in the late 1970s and early 1980s), it wouldn’t have lowered the price of gas by as much as a nickel.

Geoffrey Hale
Department of Political Science
University of Lethbridge

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26 Feb 14:41

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blossom

Hello Mr. Hale,
Do I understand you to say that the greater the US insecurity is the lack of confidence in our Canadian security concern? and that the US feels at a disadvantage? It is where you
wrote "disadvantage" that is not clear to me.

I understand when you say that co-operation is more a matter of detail than principle.
I presume that the bottom of the second paragraph has to do with the "Sunset Clauses"
which will be voted against today, and let expire, and then to review the Senate's proposal
for new admentments?

I would appreciate if you would further explain/expostulate on "integrated energy policy"...
I feel it is adamant that we really less depend on foreign oil - even 'bush' said we are too
addicted to oil, in his State of the Union Address.

I liked your article, but it is not clear enough to me what you are trying to state. I would
love to hear more, and clarify, for me, what you are proposing.

Thank you,
Blossom

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27 Feb 16:52

Bernie

I am in favour of cooperation but not integration. (If it means what I think it does) However I have apprehension as to what cooperation would be like with the present US administration. They are presently saddled with the most corrupt administration since the 1920's. What is 'cooperation' to them maybe something else to us. What they perceive as in their best interest is not in the interest of others and not even in their own in the long run.
I would like to see our government stick to making sure that interests of Canadians take priority in the present and well into the future and let those interests be determined by the general population and not by so-called experts making decisions at the top.

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01 Mar 08:34

PMK

Bernie. Are you at all concerned with the extent of American and international ownership of Canada's oil and gas resources? I have many friends who this as a threat to Canada's sovereignty. When you think about how critical oil and gas are to the US, there might be cause for concern?

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01 Mar 16:25

Bernie

Yes I am very concerned but I will not let that concern interfer with my decisions to make sure our policies are in the best interests of Canadians. We must make the best decisions and let the consquential chips fall where they may. This not only applies to oil and gas but anywhere else. We must never negotiate out of fear. To do so would mean we are not sovereign now.

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02 Mar 07:36

blossom

Hi Bernie,
This is exactly what happened in the soft-wood lumber deal ! Had we waited, we
would have won that extra $1billion, just as the Courts had decided...Now, we even
will have to repay the fees ! That is the absurdity of negotiating too quickly,
recklessly, when you know that in the outcome Canada had already won. Was it
fear, or was it just to win a majority gov't? For sure, Canadians lost ! Of course, the
US wants our co-operation, but do they lose any sleep over our losses? Of course
not !
Cheers,
blos

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03 Mar 01:00

PMK

Geoffrey. Thanks for the input. Given you knowledge on the subject, I'd appreciate your thoughts on the subject of US and foreign ownership of Canada's oil and gas resources. I have many friends who see this ownership as a threat to Canadian sovereingty and argue that NAFTA was a major mistake in that it allowed American oil companies to operate in Canada without restrictions. There is a fear/concern amongst this constituency that Canada has no say in what Americans can do with "our" oil. I'd welcome your thoughts and some clarity on this.

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01 Mar 16:30

Bernie

I hadn't read that last paragraph carefully before. On re-reading it I have some questions. Where was that poll? Who did the polling and what was the nature of the questions asked? I doubt that 80% of Canadians ever wanted to nationalize the big oil companies. Not that that would be a bad thing but the same effect could be reached by strict regulation.
We are supposed to live in a federation however the way it has been run there's more 'con' in it.
We amalgamated as provinces into Confederation for security, so that one who is better off can help out another who is not. Otherwise why not stay as separate states? In the 1930's when Alberta was despararely poor they were bailed out by other provinces that were not so poor. Newfoundland sent them fish even though it was not a province then and in bad shape itself.
Once Nova Scotia was the richest province with New Brunswick not far behind.
In different eras different provinces were rich or poor. It will happen again.
If one province became rich in food production and the other provinces were not would you not support the Federal Government seeing that there would be fair distribution? Shouldn't that also be the case for energy? There are certain basic things that must be shared in a true confederation. If that's not so then why should we not break up into separate states.

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02 Mar 10:36

Nik Nanos (The Pollster)

Hi Bernie - Nik Here - Thanks for your note. I was also quite struck by those numbers - considering I am the originator of the research. This is the second year in a row where we asked this question. The Canadian results year over year are consistent which means this is not an outlyer. But if you check out the detailed tables (which includes the wording of the question) the integrated policy is in the context of minimizing dependence on Middle East oil. I think when Canadians answered this question it was in the context of ensuring that we have access to our most important energy market - the United States - not in terms of nationalizing the industry or giving up our sovereignty. Another layer of complexity in the public opinion environment on this measure is the volatility of the price of gas. Cheers, NJN

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02 Mar 18:38

Bernie

Your response is appreciated. The narrowness of a context can enfluence the replies to the poll. I would like to know the age, education and other characteristics of those being polled. I could only answer in a broader context where sovereignty, independence and national pride are part of that context.

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02 Mar 20:39

blossom

Hello Nik,
I wish that you would answer Bernie's question, because online polls I am not
familiar with...The Leger poll tends to be separatist...and when I watched questions
asked to students on cpac about politics; most truthfully admitted that they were
not aware of who's who, or what's what...which always leaves me dubious of a poll.
No affrontery meant, but I see them as guidelines which can detect certain biasis,
in a polarized context, whereby a serious incident can rapidly change those polls.
Hope that I am not talking out of turn!
Cheers,
Blos

Reply to Comment

03 Mar 01:09

Nik Nanos (The Pollster)

Hi Again Bernie - Nik Here - All the stats are posted in the Support Materials in the box on the right. I try to include all the detailed stats SES has on a topic including the age, gender, region etc. for people to read as part of the discussion. Also, you should know that the samples in Canada and the United States were weighted to be representative of the populations (including the population by education). In my experience, online research can result in the over-representation of individuals with a higher level of education - hence a potential bias in favour of Conservatives or conservative views....SES makes sure that this bias does not occur. My primary objective is accuracy and eliminating any possible bias. Thanks again for your note and your interest. Hope this helps. Cheers, NJN

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03 Mar 06:52

blossom

Hi Nik,
I really appreciated this statement from you, for a lot of people are quite dubious
of polls, and I am one of them...For instance, It seems that I never am asked
to answer a poll - unless it's the Globe & Mail post. I believe that it also has
reported that there are a lot more Liberals than we think out there! My stand, still
remains, that polls in any domain, can only give, if even an accurate number, on
a very small percentage of people - and that many, who do not know how to
answer, can have help from the polster taker - he/she can determine, in this instance,how he believes the candidate might have voted.
However, this Nik, is not to say that I do not trust your poll, since I view you
as a moral person, who is committed to the truth! This is why I remain faithful
to your blog.
Thanks,
Bloss

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03 Mar 18:41

Nik Nanos (The Pollster)

Hi Bernie - I've responded to your question in the discussion thread below Blossom since she echoed your question. When you have a moment take a look. Cheers, NJN

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03 Mar 06:53

Bernie

It's OK, Nik. I'm satisfied with your answer.
You may may detected that I may be overly cynical from my previous posts. I am when it come to politicians and the media. I am sure I don't have to give examples of why this is so. There isn't a library big enough to hold all the volumes that could be written to justify my cynicism.

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03 Mar 08:48

Nik Nanos (The Pollster)

Bernie - Nik Here - Sounds like a great idea for a topic in our group - the influence and role of the media in politics. Cheers, NJN

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03 Mar 12:57

blossom

Hello Nik,
I am sort of jumping the gun; but "yes" is my response that it would be a
great topic to discuss for all of us; and perhaps journalists who peruse this
sight would like to contribute.
Great idea Nik!
Cheers,
Blossom

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03 Mar 18:29

Bernie

Yes, I agree. It should generate a lot of commentary.
My original thought was that this topic would be useful at any later time and on a long term ongoing and that now we should stick the hot contempory issues.
Then after some thought I changed my mind because I now believe we will be having a Federal election sooner rather than later and what better time to discuss this topic than just before an election. (and of course the Quebec election)

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04 Mar 09:15

blossom

Hi Bernie,
I am also joining to this skepticism!
bloss

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03 Mar 18:49

Bernie

Hi bloss
Thanks. Don't you agree we have every right to be sceptical?

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04 Mar 09:17

blossom

Hello Bernie,

Yes, "Absolutely", and since a lot of us seem to be skeptical, and cynicle of the
Press, means that Nik's offer to have us debate on this blog would be great,
and perhaps even invite Julie Van Duesen,
who has been adament on panel discussions, and others who corroborate with her
and, whom we have
seen on cpac, denote the lack of the material afforded them by this
Conservative gov't...for instance.
Also, to what extent are journalists able to give material which is not biased,
by newspaper owners, government, etc...If the same owner, owns a number
of newpapers, his journalists will not be able to disclose on that owner's other
companies, and would not be able to disclose to his/her readers the facts -
It's like a cover-up. Example: A newspaper owner who would own an Industry,
whereby there would be toxic gazes, or oil spill, or whatever, well for sure that
this newspaper would not let his reporters disclose on the effects and events
of this, let us say spillage !!!
How much pertinent information are they allowed to disclose?
The safeguards that journalists have to protect, and when, other than when
it is considered "national security", and how much does the bureaucracy
exert its powers to cover-up facts?
After 9/11, and the erronious reason for invading Iraq , led to
this serious debate on "media information" in the US. Had the American
Press been less swayed, and delved into the facts, they might have steered
the public, from getting into this horrible war...This war was based on a lie
by the "bush" administration, and the repurcussions will be long lasting!!!
There is also the "leakage of information" to the Press, by the gov't. which
is also another grueling topic ?
After Valerie Plame's cover in the CIA was exposed by a woman journalist,
and this in order to malign and discredit her husband, Ambassador Wilson,
by the 'bush' administration, for he was going to Africa, (I believe), to find out
the truth about the disclosures of the war in Irak by the 'bush' administration,
and Judy (name will come back to me later), went to 'jail' rather than give
her sourse!.
Protecting their sources is also another issue. If they do not, and this used to
be a fundamental right, which is now being questioned...But if they divulge
their sources, who will trust them with further information, that we may
otherwise not get ?
Bernie, thanks for responding, I am sure that you are now convinced about
my skepticism. I certainly agree with you!
Nik, this is another reason why I like your blog, and those who do blog on
your site, because it seems that we can all be open to fair discussions, and
feel free to say what we really believe, although we are not all experts. Thanks
for this Nik.
Another matter, is that if a journalist goes farther in divulging, or expressing
his/her view, and controversey breaks out, they do not come together
to help and hold together.
Cheers to all,
bloss
Thanks,
bloss

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04 Mar 19:13

Tom Good

Nik, without a doubt, United States is "family" but their side of the family usually gets what it wants. The great wealth of Canada is with its natural resources that Canadians develop / extract and trade over the world. United States has an energy deficit while Canada has an energy surplus-------why would the US not want to "tie up", "integrate" Canada's energy resources-------it is strategically vital for them to do so. Is our fresh water on the "integrate" list too ? Have you heard of the US offering an "integrated" lumber policy------not in THEIR interest you say? Have we forgotten about their softwood lumber embargo? Border security and trade cooperation are each important but separate items. Being circumspect, the Quebecers are more thoughtful than the rest of us.

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26 Feb 16:04

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kwlawson

I would say the support would be stronger in British Columbia and Washington State, because we travel North > South than we do West > East has much to with the Rocky Mountains, Richmond is 450 miles from BC - Alberta, and I can be in the USA in about 20 minutes from my home, if the border crossing is not busy. And in downtown Seattle in 1.5 hours doing their speed limit of 70 mph, not this pathetic Metric system, that was brought by French Canadian Public Servants, because this system came from France. From that day, food sizes went down and prices went up, that is why I go to Costco in the USA, for better value for money spent even with the exhange, All Canadian Retailers do is screw and the same with our bloody Charter Banks with ATM fees, but the Liberals and Jim Peterson mainly were gutless to hold Banks accountable, for 13 years 13 years 13 years of do nothing lazy Liberal Politicians. Like Ralph Goodale

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26 Feb 17:32

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blossom

Hello Nik,
You did well this eve on cpac!!!
Tom Good is right insofar that Quebeckers are definately less paranoid about our close
neighbours, and our borders. Just like Pressman, I lived for years in the USA, and ages
ago, at the American border it had always been more serious than passing at Canadian
customs. Go back, not even ten years ago, one could just drive thru without another
passenger car waiting at the border. Never asked me for an ID.The Americans are putting the tighter pressure on us,
demanding more co-operation, but to what extent? What can be defined as proportionate?
I certainly do not envision a wall on our Norther border, as they are doing with Mexico.
First thing, is that the immigration officers should be armed at the border...this would already
make them look more serious. With the passport issues today - $90./per passport for the
Americans who have families is far too expensive, and already we have seen a decline in
tourism last year, since our dollar was worth more. The Americans should start watching
their ports, and what's in those containers. It is evident that the Harper/bush relations
are more in tune with stricter co-operation with the two Countries, since they pretty much
see eye to eye already. However, one must not forget the small engine plane that crashed into
a building in N.Y. City, once again, last Fall, and because while flying over the Hudson River,
below 1,000ft, a pilot does not have to report or be on radar??? Perhaps the US should
concentrate on taking on their own internal security share, before demanding that we lose
some of our rights. They haven't even yet recovered from katrina, and should another
catastrophy happen, they are just not prepared. On the Mexican side of their border,
two border patrols are in jail because they shot an illegal alien, as they call them, who was
trying to cross the border. He was a smuggler, but he got off scott-free, and the two border
patrols are still in jail, and their lives in danger because they are incarcerated with the
smuggler crowd. So far, in Canada, our security has not been treathened, and Canadians
seem to feel safe. At the meeting last week, For the North American Alliance, security
took all of the attention, rather than trade and investment. Harper is going to lose the
vote on the Sunset Clauses, because we have not yet used them, and if need, all the
provisions for our security are in the detail of the Bill. They will make a few changes, and
adapt, and we shall not risk losing our Charter Right's to appease the US.
Cheers,
blos

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27 Feb 00:08

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Mike

When it comes to energy, it is essential for the United States to have close ties with Canada but it might not be to Canada’s advantage. When it comes to national security our southern cousins are very predictable. They believe that whatever is good for the U.S.A. is also good for the rest of the world, and it really does not matter much what the world thinks about their position. If they bring this attitude to the negotiating table, Canada might find itself in another softwood deal.
Canada is a net exporter of energy, and right now there is no shortage of customers. I would be extremely careful before snuggling further under the covers with our Yankee friends.

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01 Mar 16:26

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kwlawson

Nik your the expert, you can check this out, can a Senator be removed from the Senate for being Mentally Insane, the way this Liberal Senator like J.C. buddy Munson and this guy writing a bloody book at the expense of taxpayer's, I think we should have them committed, check that out please, imagine having their sponsorship fund inside the Senate, did they take their training from Jean Chretien, they really nuts especailly Munson and this other ding bat Senator from Quebec. Have these people ever had a real job.

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02 Mar 00:27

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