Nanos-IRPP Survey - 1 of 2 say Canada on right track - down 16 points - unsure up
Nik on the Numbers
Our annual Nanos-IRPP Mood of Canada survey finds Canadians more uncertain about where we’re headed - and more critical of the Harper government.
A significant and rising percentage of Canadians are uncertain about whether the country remains headed in the right direction, up from 9 to 25 percent over the past year, according to our annual Mood of Canada survey. The data shows that the percentage of Canadians who say the country is on the right track has fallen to 48 percent, down markedly from 64 percent who were confident with the direction a year ago.
Although 48 percent right track numbers should still be considered good, it is the lowest level recorded in the survey since Stephen Harper became prime minister in 2006.
Canadians are divided on the performance of the Harper government but negative assessments have risen over the past 12 months. The number of those who rated the Conservative Government’s performance as “very” or “somewhat” poor jumped eight points, to 33 percent. Performance ratings were stronger for the Conservatives in the Prairies and among male voters and weaker among women and east of the Ottawa River.
“The last election resulted in the Ottawa River being the new political dividing line,” says Nik Nanos of Nanos Research. “On many of the issues, this political asymmetry has mirrored the asymmetry in the Canadian economy between the resource propelled economy in the West and the manufacturing economy in central Canada. Nanos has conducted the tracking survey in partnership with the Institute for Research on Public Policy for the past six years.
Between November 28th and 29th, 2012, Nanos Research conducted a random representative online survey of 1,000 Canadians 18 years and older.
Results for 2011 are from a random telephone survey of 1,202 Canadians conducted between October 20th and 24th, 2011. A random telephone survey of 1,202 Canadians is accurate plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Would you say that Canada as a country is moving in the right direction or the wrong direction?
(The numbers in parentheses denote the change from October 24th, 2011 (n=1,202)).
Right direction: 47.9% (-15.6)
Wrong direction: 26.9% (-1.0)
Unsure: 25.1% (+16.6)
Would you describe the performance of the current Federal Conservative Government led by Prime Minister Stephen Harper as very good, somewhat good, average, somewhat poor or very poor?
Very good: 9.3% (-4.1)
Somewhat good: 24.2% (-2.6)
Average: 28.2% (-3.9)
Somewhat poor: 16.9% (+4.1)
Very poor: 16.2% (+4.7)
Unsure: 5.1% (+1.7)
On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is not improved and 5 is improved, how would you rate the relationship between the federal government and the provincial governments over the past year?
Improved (5): 4.6% (-1.0)
Somewhat improved (4): 15.8% (+3.3)
Neutral (3): 35.5% (-7.0)
Somewhat not improved (2): 20.6% (+5.5)
Not improved (1): 13.4% (-1.3)
Unsure: 10.2% (+0.6)
On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is not improved and 5 is improved, how would you rate Canada’s reputation around the world over the past year?
Improved (5): 18.6% (-0.1)
Somewhat improved (4): 25.7% (-4.3)
Neutral (3): 28.9% (+1.9)
Somewhat not improved (2): 13.9% (+3.2)
Not improved (1): 8.2% (-2.9)
Unsure: 4.7% (+2.2)
Any use of the poll should identify the source as the latest “Nanos/IRPP Mood of Canada Survey”.
Get the new free Nanos iPhone app at http://bit.ly/nanosapp