Canadians polarized on idea of Harper majority (April 18)
To follow are the new leadership and issue numbers plus new research on Canadians’ comfort with a Harper majority.
Leadership Index and Top Issue
With a score of 110.6 on yesterday’s daily Nanos Leadership Index, Harper now enjoys a 51 point advantage over Jack Layton who has been holding the second position on the Index for the last eight days. Ignatieff remains in third place.
On the issue front, healthcare remained the top unprompted issue of concern (at 31.5%), followed by jobs/the economy (25.7%), education (7.3%), the environment (4.7%), and high taxes (4.2%).
Comfort with a Harper Majority
Research suggests that Canadians remain polarized on the idea of a Harper majority even after weeks of federal election campaigning. Fourty-six percent of Canadians were uncomfortable/somewhat uncomfortable with the idea of a Harper majority while 43% of Canadians were comfortable/somewhat comfortable.
One change is that the intensity of those comfortable with a majority has increased from 26% to 31% but the overall “Harper majority comfort pool” has declined from 48% to 43% over the past two months. Also of note, the percentage of Canadians who were undecided on this measure has increased from four to 11% suggesting that the campaign will have an influence on voters judgment on the Harper majority question.
In terms of the regions, Canadians in the Prairies registered the greatest comfort with the idea (63% comfortable/somewhat comfortable compared to 43% nationally). Quebec was the one region with the strongest resistance to a Harper majority (66% were uncomfortable or somewhat uncomfortable compared to 46% nationally). In battleground Ontario, the outright comfort with a Harper majority has increased from 24% to 34% in the past 60 days, reinforcing the trend showing a Conservative advantage in Ontario at this point in the campaign.
What do you think?
The detailed tables and methodology are posted on www.nanosresearch.com
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