Harper widens leadership advantage over Ignatieff: Nanos Poll (Completed September 11th)

346 comments Latest by Diagnostician

A new poll completed by Nanos Research indicates that Stephen Harper has widened his leadership index score advantage over Michael Ignatieff. Harper leads in all regions except Quebec where Ignatieff fares better than Harper on the Leadership Index.

I’m also pleased to announce the Nanos Report - a new, weekly, public affairs show on CPAC. The 30 minute program will air every Sunday at 10:30 am and 7:30 pm (all times Eastern) and will touch on politics and business issues.

Methodology

Nanos conducted a random telephone survey of 1,002 Canadians, 18 years of age and older, between September 3rd and September 11th. A survey of 1,002 Canadians is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.

LEADERSHIP INDEX QUESTION: As you may know, [Rotate] Michael Ignatieff is the leader of the federal Liberal Party, Stephen Harper is the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, Jack Layton is the leader of the federal NDP, Gilles Duceppe is leader of the Bloc Quebecois and Elizabeth May is leader of the federal Green Party. Which of the federal leaders would you best describe as:

The most trustworthy leader

National (n=1,002)

  • Stephen Harper: 31%
  • Michael Ignatieff: 14%
  • Jack Layton: 14%
  • Gilles Duceppe: 8%
  • Elizabeth May: 8%
  • None of them/Undecided: 25%

The most competent leader

National (n=1,002)

  • Stephen Harper: 36%
  • Michael Ignatieff: 20%
  • Jack Layton: 11%
  • Gilles Duceppe: 7%
  • Elizabeth May: 2%
  • None of them/Undecided: 24%

The leader with the best vision for Canada’s future

National (n=1,002)

  • Stephen Harper: 32%
  • Michael Ignatieff: 20%
  • Jack Layton: 15%
  • Gilles Duceppe: 4%
  • Elizabeth May: 4%
  • None of them/Undecided: 25%

Leadership Index Score

  • Stephen Harper: 99
  • Michael Ignatieff: 54
  • Jack Layton: 40
  • Gilles Duceppe: 19
  • Elizabeth May: 14

What do you think?

Cheers, NJN

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Like it or not people, I believe Craig Oliver (CTV) hit the nail right on right ... more

Crown & Anchor (Nova Scotia) 15 Sep 09:58

That's great . Maybe Canadians are waking up to the reality that Harper is head ... more

Enlightened one (Alberta) 14 Sep 21:53

I am shocked at these numbers. Stephen Harper does nothing but lie out of both ... more

Curtis (Ontario) 14 Sep 22:57

Truth you can believe in .... more

attila (suspended) (Alberta) 16 Sep 18:30

The Nanos Report. Congratulations! Just caught the premiere episode of TNR -- ... more

RonaldODowd (Ontario) 20 Sep 20:31

Curtis... careful buddy or we can start talking about Trudeau and Chretien as hi... more

hollinm (Saskatchewan) 16 Sep 10:01

Comments

Enlightened one

That's great . Maybe Canadians are waking up to the reality that Harper is head and shoulders over the other leaders in regards to leadership any day of the week!!!!

[updated Mon Sep 14 21:53:05 EDT 2009]

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14 Sep 21:53

26 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Reform Voter

I have no faith in the Liberals and M.I. period, I think it will a Conservative majority, depends what they decide to with these Public Servants in Transport Canada, my suggestion they should get 20 years with parole, Pensions canceled, and spend money on a Federal Prison for these types in the middle of Baffin Island. Or maybe further north, and I forgot, make it illegal to have unions in the Federal government.

[updated Mon Sep 14 22:51:17 EDT 2009]

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14 Sep 22:51

2 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Curtis

I am shocked at these numbers. Stephen Harper does nothing but lie out of both sides of his mouth and he is the greatest hypocrite to ever hold the office of PM. He has no vision for the country, he has turned surpluses into deficit (before the stimulus budget) and he has turned the federal Parliament into the most disfunctional electoral body in the Western world, yet people still think he is doing a good job. How???

[updated Mon Sep 14 22:57:53 EDT 2009]

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14 Sep 22:57

100 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Enlightened one

What I am shocked at is M.I. For a man of higher education how he can speak such unintelligent things day after day after day after day !!!!

[updated Mon Sep 14 23:12:28 EDT 2009]

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14 Sep 23:12

Lex Llewdor

Often I critisize politicans for thinking for themselves and failing to listen to their advisors.

With Ignatieff I think he'd be better off thinking for himself and firing all of his advisors.

[updated Tue Sep 15 14:24:14 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 14:24

Tommies

He's pitiful. Actually Dion performed better in the debate than Iggy will be able to do. He's slow-doesn't know his stuff when it comes to Canada and politics in general. I taught high school students like that-could put down on paper but had trouble saying the right words orally!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[updated Wed Sep 16 15:38:16 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 15:38

FromAlberta (Suspended)

desperate

[updated Wed Sep 16 15:47:16 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 15:47

Tommies

OK I had my fun for this month. Bye-see you all next month!!

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:21:56 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:21

Barcs

Harper has no vision?

Name an Iggy policy other than " I am not Harper".... I'll wait.

I don't remember a deficit before the recession.. don't suppose you could provide a reference for it. Me, I welcomed a government that could budget without 10B in over taxation year after year.

The current deficit is a result of the three stooges demanding it last fall. and would be larger if they could be in power to spend it. (Layton said 30B just for starters as I recall).

And trustworthiness? Harper might not be my first choice... but then the poll doesn't compare Harper to perfection.... It compares him to Iggy.... And that is an easy battle to win.

[updated Mon Sep 14 23:57:28 EDT 2009]

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14 Sep 23:57

Barcs

What is sad... is that 20% believe that Iggy's vision "I'm not Harper" is the best one for Canada. :/

[updated Tue Sep 15 00:04:30 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 00:04

Wizard300_thumb Seeker

I'd like to know what Harper's vision is. He's never spoken of it except when he was with the NCC. As our Prime Minister he should be informing us of where he'd like to take this country; where he sees us in 10 years or 40.

He's just never spoken of it. I find that strange.

[updated Tue Sep 15 01:06:08 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 01:06

Diagnostician

Read my comment of 10:24, and you will see that Harper's vision is one which in the long run will be good for Canada by undoing the wreckage left by Mulroney (Reform in the West, the Bloc in the East). His place in history will be assured after the next election.

[updated Tue Sep 15 10:31:45 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 10:31

Avatar3457_1_thumb attila (suspended)

Assured ? Yes, as the man who undermined democracy in the greatest nation on the planet .
You con-clowns have ,very, convenient memories .
Obviously you have forgotten the Elections Canada charges levelled against the moron party for their 'In and Out' scheme .
Millions of tax payer dollars stolen .
In all likelihood this scheme swayed that election .
You have a lot to be proud of .

[updated Tue Sep 15 12:56:16 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 12:56

Lex Llewdor

The In and Out scheme was entirely legal. Read the statutes; the Conservatives exploited a loophole (much as the Bloc did in the last '90s when they paid supporters to make donations thus producing profit for everyone and the expenses all covered by Revenue Canada - I actually worked for the Reform Party at the time and suggested they do the same thing, but they declined for fear it would look bad).

[updated Tue Sep 15 14:15:04 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 14:15

Diagnostician

Both Hannibal and Attila were great men because they outwitted their opponents, unlike you who seems to think that clever repartee consists of calling your opponents morons, clowns and thiefs. How sad.

[updated Tue Sep 15 18:02:44 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 18:02

hollinm

attila......tell me how Harper has undermined democracy. Quit making accusations you can't support. Of course the Conservatives are guilty even before due process eh. And you talk about democracy. Hypocrite.

By the way no money was taken. They submitted their receipts and Elections Canada did not pay. Try again with more of your distortions of the truth.

[updated Tue Sep 15 18:33:52 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 18:33

Curtis

Let's see, how has he undermined democracy?
Easy, let's start with the fact that the Conservatives have essentially killed Access to Information, at this point it can take nearly 1 year before you get a response that is almost completely blacked out.

How about the propaganda campaign against the coalition last December. I was not particularly interested in the coalition, but through half-truths and outright lies, Harper and his neo-con propaganda machine undermined a completely legitimate democratic option. One that happens regularly in parliamentary democracies across the world. But Harper used his the ignorance of his own followers to subvert completely democratic option. It was an effective political maneuvre, but it was completely distasteful from a democratic perspective.

[updated Tue Sep 15 21:46:31 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 21:46

hollinm

Curtis.....Access to Information. What did you not get that you wanted?

Thought so..Do you honestly believe that ordinary Canadians get up every morning and say oh those damn Conservatives won't give me access to information. Unless you work in the government/media who loads the system with all kinds of requests this has no relevance to Canadians.Therefore it has no impact on who they will vote for.

Oh the old coalition thingy.

The fact is the 3 opposition parties ganged up on the government to oust them less than 6 weeks after the previous election without even a budget being presented.

Virtually whole country was against the coalition not just the Conservative base. That's why the Conservative poll numbers skyrocketed. You are being disingenous to suggest it was only the Conservative base.

What bugged everybody was the Bloc, a Separatiest party who wants to break up the country was part of that coalition. The way it would have worked is that the Bloc directly (confidence votes) and indirectly would have had control over the federal government. Duceppe would be negotiating behind the scenes with the Libs/NDP and any legislation would need their approval before it was presented to parliament. If it didn't work in Quebec's favour then it would never see the light of day.

The coalition would have needed the support of the Bloc for any legislation because they needed to overwhelm the Conservative votes.

There was no half truths at all. Harper told the truth. You just didn't like facing the truth because you don't like Conservatives and wanted a way to deligitimize the previous election.

I agree coalitions are a legitimate part of the process. There would be little argument I suspect if the official opposition and the NDP had sufficient seats to outnumber the Conservatives. However, including a party who admits they don't care about the country and wants to break it up is an affront to democracy.

What the coalition of stooges revealed was a real weakness in our minority government system and could put us in the realm of banana republics.

Opposition don't like the government simply band together and overthrow it.

[updated Wed Sep 16 08:59:40 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 08:59

FromAlberta (Suspended)

There you go again telling us what Canadians do. You are God? The new coalition of stooges is Harper Layton and Duceppe. That blew up in Harer's face. Hypocrite.

[updated Wed Sep 16 10:24:14 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 10:24

Wizard300_thumb Seeker

That's not a vision for this country. When will Stephen Harper enlighten us with his vision for the country, 1 year from now, 5, 10? He never has. The most of what we know of where he'd like to take us we have to glean from his soapbox at the NCC. He "appears" to have renounced those viewpoints. Has he? If he has, what now does he think? If he hasn't, why doesn't he tell the electorate that?

[updated Wed Sep 16 00:41:58 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 00:41

Diagnostician

After four years Harper's vision of our country's future is descernible, not from what he says, but from what he does. Job number one in Canada is to keep the country together, which means to weaken the separatist cause until it is a faith held only by a handful of die-hard fanatics. That means undoing the centralist philosophy of Trudeau and Chretien, which gave rise to separatism. It means cutting back on federal subsidies to provincial interest parties such as the Bloc. It means no federal encroachment on provincial powers, but a full exercise of federal powers. Hence transfer payments are increased without strings attached, hospital and medical issues are left to the provinces to solve, with only federal input through its mandate for the territories, and a federal regime for securities issues legislation and supervision. It also means an emphasis on good relations with our immediate neighbours in our hemisphere, and much less aid to the corrupt regimes of Africa. And it means an emphasis on making peace, before keeping peace. "To make peace, prepare for war...". Finally, it means that a country of 30 million should act according to its size, which is the equivalent of the population of California, the world has changed since the forties and fifties, and Canada's role as it evolved out of its war effort has changed, as memories of that effort fade. Peace, order, and good government in Canada is Harper's priority, and saving the world is something best left to starry-eyed idealists in powerful countries such as China, Russia, and USA. Canada will have the most influence in the world by setting a good example of how a people can govern itself and create an environment where each citizen can have choices to succeed, or to fail.

[updated Wed Sep 16 14:21:22 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 14:21

FromAlberta (Suspended)

If job number one is to keep Canada together hten you do not support Firewall Alberta separatist Harper. Iganatieff is exposing Harpers seedy underbelly for all to see and has trapped Harper in a corner. He is either going to trigger an election and get destroyed in an elction or he is going to form a coalition with the separatists and the socialist idealogues.

[updated Wed Sep 16 14:27:48 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 14:27

Diagnostician

F.A., You say that: 'He is either going to trigger an election and get destroyed in an elction or he is going to form a coalition with the separatists and the socialist idealogues." Yes, I agree, that is exactly what's going to happen to Ignatieff, the man who signed on to the Coalition in December.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:16:33 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:16

Lex Llewdor

That's not required at all. The Alberta Firewall strengthens confederation by enforcing limits on governmental power laid out within the constitution.

[updated Thu Sep 17 12:49:45 EDT 2009]

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17 Sep 12:49

elf

diagnostician - A couple of points -
First let me say I think you have articulated Harper's views for Canada rather well but the arguement regarding federalism will never change - Harper's kind of federalism is divisive. Some parts of the country attract more wealth entirely through luck - better climate, more renewable rescources - etc., and as always these Provinces will forever be weathier - then we have Prvinces who don't have these advantages and those people will never get the same treatment or care - it simply pits one Canadian against the other. If Harper goes too far in this direction there will continue to be smaller communities that fold completely. How do you keep some kind of balance here ?
I also think that your assessment of Harper 's vision for Canada may be accurate however the Harper philosophy misses out something huge. If his desire is to make Canada work best for Canadians and he is trying to look after us from the inside out so to speak, then why on earth doesn't he realize that Canadians love their land too. Doesn't he see that we are the envy of the world with our diverse flora and fauna, and awesome landscapes - if he cares about Canada why is he destroying it ? Canada is so beautiful - we should be stewards of this land so the whole world can see how we care for the gift we have been given - living in Canada is a privaledge so what is Harper's answer to this ? Oh sure you can say he's looking out for Canadians never mind the world stage etc., etc., but for Canadians - even those of us who live in cities - love the land - why would anyone want to live here when the beauty of the land is gone ? I grant you, he may think he is doing a grand job for Canadians but his miserable record on looking after Canada the country speaks volumes. Canadians and their county are one and the same - without the land there is no Canada.

[updated Fri Sep 18 18:23:25 EDT 2009]

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18 Sep 18:23

Diagnostician

Hello Elf, thanks for your thoughtful response. It's a pleasure to have someone articulate viewpoints in a cogent manner without the personal invective that seems to be trademark of so many bloggers on matters politic.
Please allow me to address the issues you raise in a sequential manner. You say that Harper's approach to federalism is divisive. (The one that allows the provinces full reign within their own legal sphere). I say that Canada became a nation because the provinces that united did so under a contract (the BNA Act) which divided sovereignty, some went to the provinces, the rest went to the central government. Defence, Foreign Affairs, Finance were originally still areas kept in hand by Britain, and were devolved to the feds later, as Canada became more and more independent. So, it is not Harper's choice to have a small federal presence in the land, it's a consequence of the original pact made by the provinces, and of the way Britain devolved its powers. Trudeau, Chretien, and Mulroney to a degree, tried to make the feds stronger, and this resulted in Canada almost breaking up, with Quebec leading the way, and Alberta watching to see if they should be next to leave.
It is the inherent make-up of Canada to have different parts of the nation evolve in different ways, and the population will need to get up and engage in internal migration to have a better life. People from Newfoundland have been doing that for generations, as have native Canadians who leave their reserves. Others from Central Canada have left to go south. There is nothing wrong with that, Migration is a human trait. Others chose to stay and live in lesser material circumstances, and make up their material deficit by having an esthetic satisfaction from liking their surroundings. Some move from materially wealthy environments to live in splendid isolation. 't Was ever thus. There is no need to compensate people who chose to stay in a poverty stricken area for doing that. It's their own choice. As far as looking after the land (others say environment) is concerned, the economy will always trump the environment, every poll will show that. Democracy is basically a system which will ensure that when the majority is wrong, a nation will do the wrong thing, especially when there is a minority government.. Only majority governments are in a position to do the right thing regardless of the will of the people. Examples are the abortion issue, the death penalty, the GST, etc. etc. all measures taken against the popular will. As long as he has no majority, Harper will not be able to do the things Canada needs to do to protect the environment, nor can he do so until the USA moves on those issues, and they are too busy fighting the health care battles.
In conclusion then, I say that Harper is doing the best he can with what he has been given to work with, a legal framework that precludes strong central government, and a population that would rather have jobs, than trees.

[updated Sat Sep 19 10:55:53 EDT 2009]

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19 Sep 10:55

elf

Diagnostician - in response all I can say is that Harper has clearly not earned the trust of enough Canadians when it comes to certain issues and that is why he will not get his majority.
I just finished a discussion with Lex about day care choices. This also involves the migration you mentioned - people do move from Province to Province to find better opportunities. If you can stay in your Province and you have someone close, grandma or auntie to help you take care of your child while you go to work ( instead of simply taking welfare) then that's fine for you however, when there is no work for you, and you have to leave your Province and family circle and move somewhere else to work then the measly $100 tax credit is simply not appropraite. Affordable, structured day care that s supported by government funding is necessary for those in these situations - if offers choice for Canadians - in an ideal world we would all chose to raise our own children or have family to help but that's just not the reality these days and that's part of the problem with Steven Harper. He can't have it both ways - iif he really thought out his policies in advance - if he listened more he might win more trust - he might understand the absolute necessity of some kind of universal structured day care to help the very people affected by having to move from one Province to another. This of course is only one issue but I suspect his lack of vision and his inability to be flexible is why he will not get his majority -

[updated Mon Sep 21 10:21:42 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 10:21

Diagnostician

When New Canadians come to Canada, many times it's the bread-winner who comes first, and then the rest of the family is sent for later, and the children who are at first left behind do not receive universal day-care support, they are looked after by the extended family in the old country. There is absolutely no reason that when Canadians migrate internally in their own country, they should expect universal daycare to look after their children so they can move as a family. In fact, my experience is that many Newfoundlanders go off by themselves to other parts of Canada, and then bring the rest of the family over later, when they know for sure that's what they want to do. So I must conclude that the lack of universal daycare (a provincial responsibility, BTW,) is only an excuse used by people who don't want to move to where the jobs are.
Or it's used as a red herring to put the blame for people's choices on a political opponent for other reasons. And that's how I see it.

[updated Mon Sep 21 15:35:33 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 15:35

elf

well my friend Diagnostician - we will agree to differ.
There is a philosophical difference between us - I am a liberal through and through. Though not a socialist, I do still feel that there is a need for government to be more involved whilst being careful not to be too involved. The world must see Canada as a whole - the Federal Government must speak for Canadians on world affairs with one voice - people in Europe etc., must be able to know what Canada 's opinion is on certain issues - we can't go to the world with a collection of disjointed opinions. Of course the Provinces have their responsibilites but we need cohesive, countrywide policies to deal with major issues like poverty, health care, the environment, education, homelessness, child care etc.
Like other Liberals I am forward thinking - we believe in adapting to the new world - we believe in helping people get ahead - it's just not good enough to say this is how it always worked in the past so deal with it. Things aren't the same anymore - why not make people's lives less hard ? No, we don't need big government but we need good government and so, I guess this is the parting of the waves on this issue - we'll chat again soon I'm sure.

[updated Mon Sep 21 16:03:31 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 16:03

HC in AB

So elf, what you are saying is that you would re-write to constitution to take your "major issues" from the responsibiliy of the provinces to the federal government? All of the "major issues" that you cite, by way of the constitution, are in the realm of provincial responsibility. The federal government can only influence these by way of transfer of money with strings attached. Should a province choose not to participate, the federal government really has no influence in these matters.

[updated Mon Sep 21 16:56:19 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 16:56

elf

oh HC do relax - there is always room for diplomacy and a co-operative approach - no need to be heavy handed - your words are argumentative and the methods you propose are extreme,
Do you not see how you can get more by talking and negotiating - find a way so that everyone wins ? With patience and the right approach having a united Canadian voice can be acheived without anyone feeling they have lost power or control and without anyone else being overbearing and bullying -
hah ! that's a laugh, I just realized who I'm talking to - I'm trying to reason with the unreasonable - promoting a gentle rational approach with someone who supports a leader who is overbearing and a bully -
I gapped - for a moment there I forgot who was on the other end of this post -

[updated Mon Sep 21 17:41:53 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 17:41

HC in AB

Come now, come now, no need to get excited, I was only trying to point out that high-minded platitudes are fine, but the reality is, that under our constitution these are, for the most part, in the realm of provincial responsibility and that federal provincial relations are not always a love-in, especially under federal Liberal administrations who have a history of trying to "horn in" on provincial jurisdictions (the NEP for example).

The Canada Health Act, for example, basically says "do it this way or we won't send you the money". Under the Chretien/Martin regime the funding got so low (around 20%) that some premiers were saying "whatever, you are funding so little that it doesn't matter". Under the current government, the federal share has recovered somewhat and the feds have a little more clout.

[updated Mon Sep 21 18:10:00 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 18:10

Diagnostician

Elf, mon copain, I actually do not disagree with you on the issue of speaking with one voice, however, this voice coming from the federal government can only speak on issues that are in the federal garden. That's how the BNA Act and the Constitution Act have pre-conditioned it to be. The federal government cannot speak for Canada on educational matters, for example, at the primary and secondary level. It cannot speak with one voice on health care matters, which is one of the reasons Harper has stayed quiet during the health care debate in the USA. The most the federal government can do is to poll the provinces on provincial matters, and to reflect that opinion, but since provinces can change their minds, Canada cannot be categorical in such matters. The feds' voice is best heard on matters that are federal, such as immigration, defence, foreign affairs, finance, banks and international trade. As a matter of fact, I recall a federal opposition leader, Dion, going to the Bali conference on the environment, and speaking against the official position of Canada as expressed by Her majesty's leader of the Government, so much for 'loyal' opposition. And what some call "making people's lives less hard", others call "growing the nanny state". Conservatives believe in 'noblesse oblige', i.e. those who are well off, for whatever reason, have a duty to give a hand-up to the unfortunates in the world, but of the latter there is a sub-set that no matter what, they insist on becoming unfortunate. and with those I lose patience. In a perfect world, where all can govern themselves, there would be no need for police, or for the military, or for welfare and foodbanks, and thus there would be no need for government. So, as no government goes along with a perfect world, so more government goes along with a more and more wicked world. That's why we need to encourage people and communities to be self sufficient, not as individuals, but as members of their community. so government can be as small as possible. And there is nothing wrong with one group of Canadians solving a problem one way, and another group solving it differently, or deciding to solve a different problem, there are many roads to Rome, and in peace, many flowers bloom.
A la prochaine.

[updated Mon Sep 21 19:13:12 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 19:13

Lex Llewdor

Have you ever been to Saskatchewan?

Saskatchewan does not have a nice climate. Saskatchewan was described by early explorers as "too dry for agriculture". Saskatchewan's rivers are flat and slow-moving.

Saskatchewan's is an excellent example of how good government allows wealth-creation, and bad government stifles it. For 40 years Saskatchewan hadd a stagnant economy. Now they have a booming economy, all because they finally elected a government that liked economic growth.

Blaming prosperity on resources is an obsolete notion, and Saskatchewan proves it.

[updated Sun Sep 20 18:21:40 EDT 2009]

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20 Sep 18:21

FromAlberta (Suspended)

Yes, as a PM who could never get a majority, because he was hated too much.

[updated Wed Sep 16 13:27:59 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 13:27

Lex Llewdor

As Chrétien demonstrated through three consecutive majority victories, outlining a plan before the election is bad politics.

[updated Tue Sep 15 14:16:06 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 14:16

hollinm

Seeker.......in case you haven't noticed the country is in recession and people are worried about their jobs, pensions etc. The vision is to get us through the mess.

This vision thing is not all its cracked up to be. By the way what was Chretien's vision. I know design a program that steals from taxpayers. Paul Martin....I rest my case.

You worry about 40 years down the road. Harper will worry about today and tomorrow by helping Canadians.

[updated Tue Sep 15 18:30:30 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 18:30

Curtis

Who has he helped? His stimulus package has yet to create any jobs, because he is more worried about announcements and photo-ops than actually getting infrastructure projects started. In fact this government has basically starved the nation of infrastructure investment since 2006.

What's their big agenda item? Hard on crime, what a joke. They have yet to pass a single piece of legislation that addresses the causes of crime. Any report on longer sentancing will tell you it is not a deterent.

Oh yes in 2006 he did promise to fund 2500 new police officers across the country. Of course to date they have actually supplied exactly 0 of those officers.

Maybe child care is how they are helping people? Oh yeah, child care spaces have actually decreased since he took office. Of course there is the $100 per month ($65 after taxes) child care rebate. That's going a long way for child care. More than likely a dinner out or new golf clubs.

From a public policy perspective this government is dismal. There only concern is policy which they think will get them votes, because there only real concern is their lust for power.

[updated Tue Sep 15 21:56:26 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 21:56

hollinm

Curtis.....are you really saying what you are saying? There are so many holes in your argument I could drive a truck through them.

Who was in government from 1993-2006. I will tell you in case you forgot....the Liberals who starting in 1995 had massive surpluses. What did they do with all that money? Who knows because taxes remained high and nothing significant was accomplished.

How do you know no jobs are being created and stimulus money isn't flowing? I see work being done all the time in my city. The fact is stimulus spending needs to be coordinated among fed, provinces and municipalities. Depending on the size and complexity of the projects it doesn't happen over night. Do you want Harper to stand on the top of the CN Tower in Toronto and throw money away?

Causes of crime. Now you want him to develop a nanny state. Let's rule that no woman can work outside the home and must stay home and look after their children. Lets put a physcatrist in every home to ensure it is not dysfunctional. Let's guarantee every one in the country a minimum wage of $50, 000. in order to eliminate poverty.

I would suggest that none of that would solve crime. People are responsible for crime and need to take responsibility for their own actions. I don't know what utopia you live in but once again why didn't the Libs solve that problem. They have governed the country for most of the past century.

Who cares if its a deterrent at least the same guys are not on the streets to do more harm. You are out of step with main stream Canadians. They want stiffer sentences for repeat and dangerous offenders.

Prove that no police officers have been added. I want to see statistics and verification. Othewise it is just another talking point.

Childcare. My wife and I looked after our own kids but if provinces want child care fund it through the taxation of their own citizens. Libs promised it for 15 years and yet the Cons are suppose to fall for this pie in the sky scheme that would cost $10 billion a year. By the way childcare is provincial responsibility. Child care workers would be unionized, 9-5 ghettos, would not help people in rural Canada. people working odd shifts and would simply be warehousing our kids. I could go on and on about the shortcomings but I won't.

No the government is not dismal it is the Libs and their led by the nose supporters who believe it is their God given right to govern Canada. If you honestly look at the accomplishments of the Harper government much has been done in the short 3 years they have been in power. I could send you the list if you like. I have them.

Tell me...after 13 years of 3 majority Chretien governments what significant thing was done to improve the lives of ordinary Canadians besides stealing their money.

You really need to give your head a shake and take off the blinders.

[updated Wed Sep 16 09:21:39 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 09:21

Curtis

Hollinm - You really have drunk the Kool-Aid.

Let's talk 19993-2006. Chretien and Martin got us out of Mulroney's deficit, they then paid down the national debt to a point where the ratio of debt to GDP was the envy of the industrialized world. They also granted the largest tax cut in Canadian history in 2000. At the same time they created the best performing economy in the G8. That said they certainly should have delivered a better national housing plan and a national child care strategy between 2000 and 2006, but they were more concerned with debt re-payment.

As for crime I am am fine with longer sentences as is the Liberal Party, who have voted for these measures. My point was that this doesn't reduce crime. Stats show very few criminals re-offend once released so longer sentances won't have much of an effect on new crime. The Harper government has done nothing to address poverty, homelessness, drug addiction, mental illness or any other issue that is causes crime.

As for infrastructure I work in the municipal infrastructure world and have watched this government stop infrastructure investment since they took power since 2006. As for the stimulus fund I have seen the analysis and less than 20% of projects have started. If they would have put the money through ther gas tax last April far more projects would have been started and they would have created thousands of jobs. However, they felt photo-ops and announcements were more important.

As for police officers there is a designated fund for these positions and none of the money has been spent. In fact, there was a story in Toronto in June announcing that the first 4 officers paid for by this fund will start in York Region in January 2010. Thats's 4 officers in 4 years, what a joke.

As for childcare, that's great that you and your wife didn't need two incomes, but that is not the reality today. Quite frankly the argument for more child care spaces is an economic and productivity argument, which may be too complex for someone whose argument against childcare is " my wife and I raised our own kids, so why can't everyone else."

Lastly, what did Chretien and Martin do - erased the deficit, reduced the national debt, kept us out of Iraq, created the gas tax rebate to cities and communities, build the fastest growing and best performing economy in the world. Not bad.

[updated Wed Sep 16 12:45:05 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 12:45

hollinm

Curtis.....I would never take away from the fact that Chretien was forced to clean up his deficit and mess that he and Trudeau created back in the 70's.

How did they do that. They had the GST and NAFTA both of which they said they would get rid of if elected and which Mulroney had the foresight to put in. Then they proceeded de-fund the military, reduced transfers to the provinces for heathcare, education social services etc. etc. Then when times got good they did not go back to the old formula but kept squeezing the provinces. There are many who said they virtually destroyed our healthcare system and education system with the cuts.

The so called biggest tax increase in the history of the country was all smoke and mirrors. I watched my paycheque stay the same because they jacked up EI and CPP premiums so much that if there was a tax reduction it was miniscule and I didn't even notice it.

I will wait to see what the Sept. report says about stimulus funding rather than taking your word for it. However, if you are correct I do not see this as a bad thing. I just see it as a delay depending on the nature of the projects. By the way if the stimulus hasn't been spent then it is a credit to the Canadian economy and confirms stimulus money is not the answer to what will solve the recession. It is all about time.

I will take your word on the police officers. However, you know Libs are soft on crime. Why are they holding up crime legislation in the Senate if they are so supportive?

We did look after our own children who grow up well adjusted, are now married and have children of their own. Once again I say if the provinces need childcare for their residences have at it. Set it as a priority and spend the money needed to create childcare spaces.

I would remind you the Conservatives also reduced the debt by some $40 billion in the first couple of years they were in power. However, the Libs put us in the Afghan quagmire. As Chretien says Martin put us in the killing fiields of Kandahar.

The economy during the Chretien/Martin years was good because the world was doing well particularly the United States and they benefited from Nafta big time.

Once again what was the real accomplishment of the Chretien government over 13 years. Tell me I want to know.

[updated Wed Sep 16 17:27:05 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 17:27

Curtis

You and I can argue this forever but the fact is Chretien and MArtin made the tough choices that had to be done to right a sinking Canadian economic ship. The OECD had declared our economy a disaster in 1993. Do I like all the decisions they made, non but they did what was necessary and they deserve credit for moving Canada forward and creating a strong economy. You may not agree with there decisions but they made them and their leadership worked.

You Conservatives love to talk about what a great leader Harper is, what tough decisions has he made, I can't think of one. He makes easy decisions that pander to the public. Like cutting the GST. Dumbest tax cut ever and most economists will tell you that. The GST is a good tax because it is a consumption tax. Those who consume the most pay the most. It's fair. But it has been traditionally unpopular so cutting it was an easy way to win points. He is not a leader.

As for tax reductions your telling me you've noticed it in your pay stub since Harper came to power, not likely. This is the Harper way they talk and tell you about all the great things they are doing for Canadians but they never do them. It is all smoke and mirrors.

Like their famed crime bills. They constantly blame the Liberals for holding up their famous crime bills but the truth is they hold them up so they can blame everyone else for political purposes. They hold them up in committees, they have prorogued Parliament which has killed their own bills, they blame the Senate, when they engineer that their bills go to the Senate a couple of days befor their sessions end. Let me be clear - the idea that the Liberals have held up any of the Conservative crime bills is utter rubbish and a bold face lie theat the Conservative propaganda machine spews out.

Lastly, debt reduction Chretien and MArtin reduced the national debt by way more than $40B.

[updated Wed Sep 16 22:59:11 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 22:59

hollinm

Curtis...you are beginning to repeat yourself.

I for one am enjoying my pension income splitting as well as the reduction in the GST.

[updated Thu Sep 17 14:19:50 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

17 Sep 14:19

elf

way to go Curtis - let them have it - but it gets to be a bit like banging your head against a brick wall after a while -
this is all such hard work - it's like trying to reason with a three year old

[updated Fri Sep 18 18:27:11 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 18:27

Diagnostician

Chretien and Martin engaged in a sleight of hand when they brought the deficit down. They did so by transferring the E.I. insurance surplus (Over 50 billion dollars) to the general income line, and by off-loading health-care and education costs to the provinces, who then started growing their deficits. That's exactly what Mikey I will do, plus increase the GST again,if he gets a chance to, which he won't.

[updated Sun Sep 20 03:41:10 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

20 Sep 03:41

westerner (suspended)

For a person on a political blog you are very much out to lunch on your facts. Get with the program please.

[updated Wed Sep 16 11:23:27 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 11:23

FromAlberta (Suspended)

You are out to lunch on your facts. Its all spin and Harper talking points. "Canadians love Harper " fantasies.

[updated Wed Sep 16 11:26:55 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 11:26

Lex Llewdor

Stimulus packages never create jobs. Stimulus is a terrible idea.

Harper knows this, which is why he wasn't going to present a stimulus package at all until he was forced to by the threat of coalition.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:29:54 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 16:29

FromAlberta (Suspended)

That makes Harper a terrible failure as a conservative then.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:33:33 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 16:33

Lex Llewdor

Harper didn't want a stimulus package, as you'll recall. His economic update last fall didn't contain any.

And so angry about that was the coalition that they tried to wrest power away from him because he wouldn't do their socialist dance.

No, Harper hasn't been a terribly good conservative, but it's unreasonable to expect that of him in a minority parliament when literally every single thing he does is designedto pander for votes (like every minority government - minorities don't benefit anyone except the bureaucrats).

[updated Wed Sep 16 17:18:49 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 17:18

HC in AB

Stimulus packages are strange animals. They don't create jobs the moment they are announced. Given the lag between an announcement and beginning of construction (they are usually directed toward muncipal or provincial infrastructure projects) caused by putting the criteria and approval mechanisms in place, the project selection by the authority implementing it, the application and approval process, the selection process for a design consultant, the design process, the public tendering process for construction, and material procurement and contractor mobilzation times there is usually about a year between the program funding announcement and any actual construction work beginning.

Generally, by this time the economy is starting to recover in a normal cyclical manner. When the money starts to be spent, it may somewhat accelerate the recovery. Most of those employed are construction workers who have been displaced from delayed/cancelled private sector projects.

Most of the projects undertaken are needed projects in the "core infrastructure" field or what I refer to as "quality of life" project (arenas, playing fields etc.). In this particular program there appears to significant spending in secondary education facilities.

In my experience, it is not all "incremental" spending. There are always projects that would have proceeded anyway, but why spend money from your own tax base (or in the case of public water/sewer systems, a "rate-supported" revenue base) when the feds are willing to write the cheque for it.

So you do wind up with the effect of cleaning some backlog of needed projects, and this in turn will support economic growth that needs the infrastructure to operate.

But if the question is "Does this type of spending assist the economy in recovering?" my answer would be probably a little, but not much. It does, however, provide the illusion that governments are "doing something" and that does give they typical Joe on the street some degree of increased confidence.

[updated Wed Sep 16 17:48:41 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 17:48

elf

Lex, so in other words you are saying Harper has abandoned his principles to stay in power - right on

[updated Fri Sep 18 18:28:33 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 18:28

Wizard300_thumb Seeker

Chretien is no longer Prime Minister. Paul Martin is no longer Prime Minister. They have nothing to do with the question and I'm tired of listening to Conservative's deflections instead of answering. I'd like to know where Harper will take this country. If he can't come clean on that he doesn't deserve the position.

[updated Wed Sep 16 00:43:51 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 00:43

hollinm

Seeker....you may not like to be reminded of history but you cannot forget history it is there for everyone to see and to judge Liberal hypocrisy.

A vision may be something for a majority government but when you have three opposition parties who are hell bent on forcing elections every other week there is little time to put any vision in the window because everyday is a battle.

So like I say....I don't remember anybody asking Chretien for his vision. Probably because he wouldn't have known what the word meant.

This kind of stuff is just bu.lsh.t and you know it. Vision? Give me a break.

How about keeping government out of the lives of Canadians and business. How about not wasting money on useless programs that don't accomplish anything. How about keeping taxes low so people can keep more of their hard earned money.

That's my vision and I don't think it is far from the vision of Conservatives.

[updated Wed Sep 16 09:31:09 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 09:31

FromAlberta (Suspended)

Here's some history no one forgets from our American right wing Republican lover Harper:

He doesn't really care about unemployed he is just using them to save his skin

"In terms of the unemployed... don't feel particularly bad for many of these people. They don't feel bad about it themselves, as long as they're receiving generous social assistance and unemployment insurance."

He predicted that the Reform and Progressive Conservative parties would ultimately merge and "[o]ne party is going to win out.... And Reform is not going to lose that contest in the long term." He called the Reform Party a "conservative Republican" organization. We all know the CPC is run by Reformers.

Harper loves America and is the real American that dislikes Canada, some patriot:

"Canada is a Northern European welfare state in the worst sense of the term, and very proud of it. Canadians make no connection between the fact that they are a Northern European welfare state and the fact that we have very low economic growth, a standard of living substantially lower than yours, a massive brain drain of young professionals to your country, and double the unemployment rate of the United States."

"[Y]our country [the USA], and particularly your conservative movement, is a light and an inspiration to people in this country and across the world."

Harper the traitor and right wing idealogue, friend of Dick Cheney.

[updated Wed Sep 16 10:13:24 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 10:13

Diagnostician

The man who ran from Canada, and only missed Algonquin Park, the man who supported torture, the man who talked about the USA being his country, the man who says the Canadian flag is only good for beer commercials, the man who was kissing Bush's butt while at Haaaaarvard, and the man who says one thing one day, and the opposite the next day is..... Mikey I.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:20:03 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 16:20

Tommies

Your only problem with this reasoning no one listens to it anymore. Martin already run this line-GONE!! Doesn't work anymore. On the other hand all of the things Iggy said when down south or in Britain is all new to Canadians-it's fresh even if it's 20 years old-it's fresh here in Canada where no one really knows him-so it's all GOOD!!!!!
And some of the "stuff" he said is unbelieveable!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Harper has been and will be PM for 4 years soon-no one is scared any more so that reasoning is passé!!!

[updated Sun Sep 20 18:02:46 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

20 Sep 18:02

Diagnostician

Well said.

[updated Sun Sep 20 03:42:39 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

20 Sep 03:42

elf

Seeker, it's my experience that's what all CONs do - they never ever answer questions - they deflect everything that is asked of them - they turn it around somehow and focus on berating the person who is asking the question - and they don't answer Qs in the House either - opposition MPs ask sensible questions and the Harper guys just act like idiots - clapping their hands and stomping their feet - laughing and jeering when someone says something their tiny minds find funny - usually something stupid or derogatory - they always side step the issue - oh yes, I forgot - they end every sentence by blaming the Liberals - go figure

[updated Wed Sep 16 13:22:32 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 13:22

Curtis

As a senior I am sure you are not worried about 40 years down the road. But one of the greatest failures of politics in this country at all three levels of government is the failure to plan ahead 40-50 years. They only worry about planning for the short term election cycle and as a result we are constantly playing catch-up.

[updated Fri Sep 18 09:55:34 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 09:55

hollinm

Curtis.....While I would agree that it would be great to be able to plan into the distant future the reality is it would be so filled with assumptions and guess work that it would be a useless analysis.

Canada is part of the global economy and world. We are losing our ability to control our own destiny no matter how well we plan. We only have to look at what happened late last year. Canada was doing well, we had lowered taxes for all, we had refinanced our military, we had enhanced our producitivity and competiveness by heading into being one of the lowest business tax regimes in the world when suddenly the mortgage meltdown and the banking failures originating in the U.S. hit the world. At that point all plans went out the window.

So the key for government was to manage the economy through the world wide recession. While I know you will not agree but I believe Harper and his government have done an reasonable job; not perfect but acceptable.

[updated Fri Sep 18 14:21:41 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 14:21

Curtis

My comments on planning ahead actually were in reference to things we can control ie. transit, infrastructure, adaptation to climate change, health care services, etc. Governments know in many instances what should be done but are generally unwilling to take that political step, often because the voters who are notoriously short-sighted would be up in arms over costs. Even though many ot these projects will eventually HAVE to be done and the cost will be greater down the road.

As for the recession, I agree it was out of our control but I am not sure what the Harper government has done to help us through it. Increased spending on the military, which I am happy about, has not helped us in the recession, particularly since most military contracts have gone to non-Canadian companies. The Harper government scrapped the $3B contingency fund which was there to help in tough times and the fact is the government was poised to run a deficit for 2008-9 before the recession even hit.

As for the banking industry, Mr. Harper loves to talk about its overall health and he consistantly tries to create the impression that his government had something to do with it. However, the banking regulatory system has been for the most part in place for a few decades and was strengthened by Mulroney, Chretien and Martin. To my knowledge the current government has passed no meaningful banking regulations. In fact if Harper had managed to win a majority in 2006 my guess is he would have de-regulated the banks, which he talked about doing on several occassions when he was in opposition.

The mortgage crisis was primarily averted due to the existance of CMHC and their refusal to insure high risk loans, which companies like Freedie Mac and Fannie May did in the US. The fact is that when Harper took office in 2006 his government began looking for ways to sell CMHC to the private sector (likely a US firm like GE Capital), luckily due to his governments minority instability he was never able to follow through or we would have had our own mortgage crisis.

As for tax cuts the GST has had no effect on stimulating the economy. You need to spend $1000 to save $20. No one is buying things now because of their GST savings and in fact the vast majority don't even notice it, particularly considering the fact that you don't pay it on food, rent or children's clothes, which eats up the lions share of many Canadians' incomes.

All in all, the Harper government has done little or nothing to guide us through the recession other than put forth a politicized stimulus package which has utterly failed at creating jobs and what's worse has absolutely no strategic direction or goal.

[updated Fri Sep 18 16:49:39 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 16:49

hollinm

Curtis.....while I don't agree with your last paragraph I don't have much of a problem with the rest of it.

Without a majority government in Ottawa to make the tough decisions and have a 4 year cycle to convince Canadians they are doing the right thing we will continue to languish with governments unable to tackle the serious issues facing the country.

CMHC does finance higher risk mortgages ie. 95% of lending value but it is the banks who decide on the credit risk i.e. the client. CMHC simply looks at the propety to see if they want to insure it.

You misstate the impact of the GST cut for partisan reasons. There are some economists who suggested that the reason we were later going into the recession was partly due to the cut in the GST. You can argue that the GST was small but it was applied to many things. If it impacted the budget by some $12 billion then it must have had that kind of impact on the consumer side.

Lets not forget a cut in the gst is more important to those at the bottom of the socio-economic scale. A cut in the marginal tax rate would not do much for them because they pay little or no income tax.

Harper has touted the strength of the banking system and yes the system was strong because of previous government decisions. However, the Conservatives made some changes to provide liquidity at the height of the crisis and they made some other changes with BDC and Export Development etc. So lets not minimize the changes they made.

You suggest infrastructure spending is a waste. I would argue that while it may not get us out of recession it will help many communities and the country in the future.

I never suggested that spending on the military helped during the recession but I suspect some of the defense contractors were helped because of procurements during the recession. My point was simply to suggest to you that the government has done some good things since being in power which you are unwilling to acknowledge.

[updated Fri Sep 18 22:16:36 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 22:16

Curtis

I think you have misread what I have said in a couple of ways. First of all as to the existance of minoroity governments, my point was, thank god, Harper only had a minority otherwise he would have de-regulated the banks and sold CMHC, which would have made the recession much worse and likely caused a mortgage crisis. Let's not forget Stephen Harper once called the George Bush Republicans " a shining light for the Conservative movement" and he believes in the terrible economic policies that the Bush administration followed.

As for the GST the segment of society that benefits the least from the GST is the poor. After rent and food (neither of which have GST) the poor generally don't have disposable incomes where they can spend thousands of dollars to save tens of dollars. The only people who may notice GST savings are those people buying $30,000 cars and $300,000 homes and quite frankly if you can afford those things you can afford the GST. I am middle class and I don't know a sole who notices any GST savings. I'd rather see the feds have the $12B to put into infrastructure and affordable housing or pay off the debt. All three of those things would have a far more positive impact on society than the 3 cents people save on a cup of Timmy's.

As for the banking system, my point is that Harper runs around taking credit for the overall strength of the banking system when in fact he had nothing to do with that strength. His move to transfer $50B in mortgage guarantees to CMHC after the recession started has nothing to do with that point. Mind you it is interesting that the same banks that needed this help are all making multi-billion$ profits per quarter. Hmmmm.

Lastly I never suggested infrastructure spending is a waste in fact the feds should spend more on the nation's infrastructure. What I criticized was this governments infrastructure stimulus fund which they have made more about announcements and photo-ops than about getting shovels in the ground and creating jobs. In fact if this government's Building Canada Fund infrastructure program which started in 2007 was a disaster and they let billions in infrastructure funding lapse. Perhaps if they would have been interested in actually spending the money rather than making announcements that never got funded thousands of unemployed construction workers could have had jobs since last fall. When it comes to infrastructure investment this is the worst government in my life-time.

[updated Sat Sep 19 17:16:46 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

19 Sep 17:16

hollinm

Curtis....you and I could keep going around in circles. Neither of us will change our positions.

The only thing I can say it looks very much like a Conservative government is coming in the next election. Iggy is not going over well, The Conservatives have defined him and he has no ability to appeal to the masses.

[updated Sat Sep 19 18:39:19 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

19 Sep 18:39

elf

Curtis - I agree - everyone regardless of age should be looking to the future - you know what they say " we become senile when our past is more important than our future" and posts on this site that constantly refer to the past are pretty much useless. Of course we have to remember and learn from the past or we'll make the same mistakes however to constantly compare is a common practise amongst those in later years - remember aging is not a choice but growing old is. The CONs on this site are a variety of ages but it's my opinion that most CONs are old in mind and spirit - they are regressive in their policies and do not look ahead to plan approriately for the future generations - we have a duty to leave the world a better place - what is it about that that Harper and the CONs don't get ?

[updated Fri Sep 18 18:36:32 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

18 Sep 18:36

hollinm

elf....of course Libs are above the fray and never call anybody names. Right. Hypocrite.

[updated Sat Sep 19 18:40:36 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

19 Sep 18:40

syl (suspended)

I am not Harper is good enough for me!!!!

[updated Tue Sep 15 02:51:52 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 02:51

Lex Llewdor

That opinion only makes me wish you couldn't vote.

Seriously? You're choosing a government because you happen to dislike a single man for reasons you can't adequately explain. That seems short-sighted.

[updated Tue Sep 15 14:12:49 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 14:12

elf

me too Syl

[updated Tue Sep 15 18:02:12 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 18:02

hollinm

syl.....How is that working for you thus far. Check Nanos out and the other opinion polls. Libs are not making much progress I would say and your guy isn't really catching on.

I see he is going to a plowing match next week. I can't wait to see the great intellectual running around with cow shit on his loafers.

If the economic speech on Monday is anything like his foreign policy speech then Harper has nothing to worry about. Will he say I will cover the deficit within 2 years by raising taxes, cutting transfers to the provinces, reducing funding for the military? No he will use devious words to try and fool people.

Just like he told McGuinty secretly that he would help, like Harper, with the transition to the HST but when McGuinty outed him he had to run for cover. Making McGuinty look silly is not going to help the Count in the next campaign. McGuinty's Libs will stay home.

[updated Wed Sep 16 09:58:06 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 09:58

Curtis

Check the budget numbers from May through August and you will find monthly deficits, and lastly the final balance for the 2008 fiscal year was a deficit. The stimulus budget did not take effect until the beginning of fiscal 2009.

BTW every Conservative government since the Titanic has run a deficit, because Conservatives are lousy fiscal managers.

[updated Tue Sep 15 21:34:03 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 21:34

hollinm

Curtis... careful buddy or we can start talking about Trudeau and Chretien as his Finance Minister. They were the worse fiscal managers that Canada has ever seen.

They started the deficit binge and you know it. It is the Libs record that is all about deficit spending. Yes the deficit went up under Mulroney but he was dealing with interest rates of 20% and out of control inflation. However, that doesn't count does it? Its just another excuse as you Liberals would say.

[updated Wed Sep 16 10:01:39 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

16 Sep 10:01

hollinm

Curtis.....read it and weep my friend. All the stuff you are talking about is inside baseball.

Canadians want the government to deliver the goods. Harper has done that through this recession and the opposition parties want to talk to their friends in the press gallery about how mean he is. Looks like your part of the cabal.

[updated Tue Sep 15 00:35:08 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 00:35

Curtis

hollinm - check out my post of 21:56. In fact the Harper government has delivered nothing. They are the Photo-Op govrnment - make announcements, get their picture taken but never deliver. Of the 2000+ infrastructure projects they have announced less than 20% have started. Their stimulus package is an utter failure.

As for the press gallery, I find it hilarious how the Cons always consider the press liberal considering Harper has had a free ride from the press since 2006.

[updated Tue Sep 15 22:03:16 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 22:03

HC in AB

Let me tell you about intrastructure stimulus packages on a non-partisan basis, they are joke in terms of doing anything but helping to create the impression that something is being done immediately. I work in the design professional end of the infrastructure business. Here is how the system works.

1. There virtually no "shovel ready" projects that were not going proceed anyway. Infrastructure authorities don't spend 5 to 8 percent of project value to put it on the shelf and wait for funding.

2. There are "needed high priority projects" that exist in concept.

3. When an infrastructure stimulus package is announced the criteria for the projects has to be developed and the beaurocatic (sp?)mechanisms put in place for approvals (about 2 months)

4. Projects have to be submitted and approved (about 2 months).

5. One of the approval is received there is usually a requirement for an open and transparent selection process for design professionals (about 1 month).

6. The detailed design process and development of tender packages has to take place (about 3 months for a major project)

7. A public tendering process to select a construction contractor has to take place (about 1 month)

8. Give the contractor about a month to order materials, mobilize etc.

9. Construction starts.

Overall, give it about a year or just under for a project that exists in concept to start to get in the ground. I have worked in the industry for about 35 years and seen a half a dozen or so of these stimulis type packages.. they have all worked the same. It doesn't matter what political stripe initiates them.

By the time you get a shovel in the ground, the recovery has usually begun anyway (as it is now).

This isn't anybody's fault, it is the way the system works with public funds. If infrastructure authourities could just call up their favorite design-build team and let them have at it (as happens when we do work in the private sector), you could have a shovel in ground in a couple months.

This not to say that there is not a major "infrastructure deficit" in this country that has to be addressed at some time, it just that our expectations relative to the transparency in the procurement of services in the public sector delays the process, at a cost in both time and money.

A stable, ongoing funding regime for the infrastructure needs would be much more productive.

[updated Tue Sep 15 22:37:10 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 22:37

Wildrose

So why did Harper at the beginning brag so much about how fast he would get the job done? No lie is too small or too large for Harper.

[updated Tue Sep 15 22:49:57 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

15 Sep 22:49

HC in AB

Because that is what every politician that proposed any infrastructure stimulus package has always done. On approval, the criteria is that the projects have to completed by the end of the 2010/2011 fiscal year ending March 31, 2011. Don't forget that they tried to "fast-track" about $3billion worth but were stymied in the "slush fund" scenario.

I have been hearing the same "lies" relative to these programs for about 35 years, mostly from the LPC as they have been in government most of the time.

That doesn't make it "right" on anybodys part. The biggest benefit from programs such as these is that it gives the public the impression that "something is being done" and helps create some confidence in the public.

These programs usually don't employ laid off auto-workers etc. They simply provide some employment in the construction/construction materials/construction equipment fields who have been displaced by a downturn in the investment in construction in the private sector.

[updated Tue Sep 15 23:10:01 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 23:10

This comment has been removed by the Moderator.

hollinm

Wildrose......sounds a little hysterical my friend. The fact is Canadians are happy with Harper. They may not love him but they respect him and believe he is the better leader.

So read the polls and the leadership index and weep. We are heading to another Conservative government despite the spin that people like you put on him. Funny you can't talk about the policies. Only attack the man.

[updated Wed Sep 16 10:09:11 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 10:09

FromAlberta (Suspended)

The facts are not that Canadians are happy with Harper. Only a mnority of Canadians are happy with Harper. He has done that to himself with his distatseful behaviour. His leadership numbers are not good, only better than the others. Canadians are not satisfied with any leaders does not translate into Canadains are satisfied. Very flawed logic or partisan spin. I suspect the later as you seem to be an e-volunteer by the workload you are taking on here and other sights. Just trying to force the message your way by making misleading statements. Typical Harper servant. You guys are a joke.

[updated Wed Sep 16 10:18:32 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 10:18

Diagnostician

Typical Liberal "ad hominem" response to a thoughtful proposition.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:22:10 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:22

FromAlberta (Suspended)

Ad hominen as typical Liberal. That is ajoke coming from the party of character assassination. You e-volunteers are really desperate.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:25:27 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:25

Lex Llewdor

A plurality of Canadians is happy with Harper. That's really all that matters.

The last PM to win a majority of support in an election was Mulroney.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:41:24 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:41

FromAlberta (Suspended)

If that is all that matters, why does Harper want a majority. that is BS my friend.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:46:17 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:46

Lex Llewdor

Harper wants a majority because it's the better form of government. Majority governments can implement policy without worrying about short-term political consequences. They don't have to pander constantly for votes, sacrificing future prosperity for immediate political concerns.

All of the leaders want a majority for themselves. Harper is no different. But he doesn't need a majority of Canadians to support him to get one. Chrétien's three consecutive majorities averaged about 40% of the vote. Mulroney only got 50% once. Neither Trudeau nor Pearson ever got 50%. 50% very rarely happens.

[updated Wed Sep 16 17:00:32 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 17:00

elf

Wildrose - yes, they brag all the time - and the Bulldog Baird - all he keeps sayng is we promised we would get the job done for Canadians and we are getting the job done - what's with that ? I don't see any jobs getting done - in fact all the CONs need some new lines 'cos I'm getting a headache from hearing the same old spin.

[updated Fri Sep 18 18:41:28 EDT 2009]

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18 Sep 18:41

hollinm

HC in AB....good explanation.

This is why Harper was trying to avoid spending gobs of cash. He knew while infrastructure spending was required and he had $3 billion in the budget it would not help to minimize the recession.

However, in a minority government with three left wing parties demanding spending and knowing Canadians wanted the government to do something we got what we got.

[updated Wed Sep 16 10:05:48 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 10:05

HC in AB

P.S. You may not have noticed, but I should tell you that the CPC generally reflects my view of the world more than the "others".

[updated Tue Sep 15 22:40:31 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 22:40

Lex Llewdor

All stimulus packages are failures. Stimulus packages retard economic growth. They can have no other effect.

[updated Wed Sep 16 16:42:16 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 16:42

elf

Curtis - I'm considerably shaken by these numbers as well - I'm trying to tell myself that polls are often wrong, that at this point there hasn't been enough seen or heard from Iggy and I am trying really hard to stay positive - Canada and Canadians used to have a reputation for being honest, fair minded and everybody's buddy - what on earth has happened ? I can't imagine any Canadian supporting such a nasty man

[updated Tue Sep 15 17:31:48 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 17:31

Lex Llewdor

Get used to disappointment.

Canadians like calm leaders with actual ideas.

[updated Tue Sep 15 18:24:46 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 18:24

hollinm

elf...I wasn't going to respond to you but couldn't resist.

The fact is Chretien won back to back majorities because there was no effective opposition. That is not the case today and the Libs are now out of power.

What has happened to Canadians? They have a choice and they made it.

[updated Tue Sep 15 18:37:15 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 18:37

Avatar3457_1_thumb attila (suspended)

Wrong. Two out of three Canadian's voted against the horses asses with hats party.
Always will .
No majority.Ever .

[updated Wed Sep 16 18:40:50 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 18:40

Lex Llewdor

Not quite 2 out of 3.

And the 36.27% Harper got last year isn't so far from the 38.46% Chrétien got in 2000 - and he won a majority with that.

[updated Wed Sep 16 19:05:01 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 19:05

hollinm

attila....sounds like a cry of desperation. I would place odds on my guy getting a majority before placing a bet on your guy getting a minority.

Sounds like you're still living in the past. The country and the polls are changing. It does not look good for the Libs and their just visiting leader.

[updated Thu Sep 17 14:16:08 EDT 2009]

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17 Sep 14:16

RonaldODowd

Hollinm,

Haven't you heard? We Liberals have a new favourite drink...it's called "The Jack Fizzle"! It's bound to do wonders for our political health. Just wait and see.

This Prime Minister has much to learn and we're ready to teach him a lesson he'll not soon forget.

[updated Sat Sep 19 21:43:48 EDT 2009]

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19 Sep 21:43

hollinm

RonaldODowd.....there is nothing this PM can learn from the slimy Liberal party.

You can take as much credit as you like about Layton's position but the fact is it is not Layton that you guys have to beat. It is the PM who you know is a formidable opponent.

The fact remains Canadians are watching and they see an eltitist leader and his party saying that they will vote against anything the government proposes. Canadians will accept that from Layton but they won't accept it from the party who pretends they are the official opposition. Its called irresponsibility. Iggy has handed the fate of this parliament to Layton and he will milk it for all it is worth while you guys sit on the sidelines. Its easy to criticize. Its much more difficult to oppose constructively and put forward alternatives.

So gloat about supposedly outsmarting the 4th placed party in the House but I suspect as future polls come in your gloating will turn to frowns of disbelief.

[updated Mon Sep 21 12:27:47 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 12:27

RonaldODowd

Hollinm,

Perhaps. Perhaps not!

[updated Mon Sep 21 13:49:33 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 13:49

hollinm

RonaldODowd.....

If you watched Iggy's speech today you must have been disappointed. He talked about Harper more than he talked about the Liberal party and how it would govern differently.

To say that he would solve the deficit if elected by opening up the books and then letting Canadians know how he would cover it was insulting and disingenous. In other words elect me then I will tell you what my plans are.

How many opposition parties have said this before? Virtually everyone of them.

At the opening of his speech he warned the audience that the speech would be substantive and long. Well, it wasn't substantive by any stretch of the imagination. It was boring, talked about things that were more or less being done already and fed a lot of bromides and platitudes that Liberals are famous for.

If this is the best that the Count and the Liberal party is going to put in the window well Stephen Harper has nothing to worry.

The sound of silence in the audience was deafening.

[updated Mon Sep 21 15:34:08 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 15:34

RonaldODowd

Hollinm,

Thanks for the update.

[updated Mon Sep 21 15:57:40 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

21 Sep 15:57

RonaldODowd

Elf,

The tide is turning. Not only can they not see it but better for us, they cannot even conceive it! Our day is coming and a lot faster than conventional wisdom suggests. We will keep the faith and smile -- a little bit later.

P.S. My regards to Hollinm. He's like us, a fighter who usually plays fair.

[updated Sat Sep 19 21:38:28 EDT 2009]

Reply to Comment

19 Sep 21:38

hollinm

RonaldODowd.......elf would not agree with you about me.

However, we will see how the polls turn out this week with parliament in recess.

If Iggy blows the economic speech today the ball game will be over for the Libs.

I suspect he will because he does not have of the mind of a retail politician. He will talk about national daycare, cap and trade, aboriginal issues. All with grandiose rhetoric but with little meat on the bones. However, the track record of the Liberal party will cause his speech to fall on deaf ears.

Talking about green jobs in the abstract are simply nice words. Talking about national daycare when daycare is provincial jurisdiction is simply not practical. Talking about enivronmental action when we cannot do anything without being in concert with the U.S. is foolhardy.

So we will see what we will see today. I won't be holding my breath.

[updated Mon Sep 21 12:38:28 EDT 2009]

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21 Sep 12:38

hollinm

Its an outlier! The Liberals will be screaming bloody murder Nik that you don't know what you are talking about.

This coupled with the Ipsos poll which I agree will need to be confirmed by more polls should be scaring the hell out of all the opposition parties.

Maybe the Czarist leader of the Liberal party will get it through his arrogant narcissistic head that Canadians do not want an election.

I know all the Lib sycophants i.e. elf, scotian, bernie, parnel will be out in full force. Hang on to your hat Nik you are going to be castigated unmercifully.

[updated Tue Sep 15 00:30:39 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 00:30

3 replies so far. Join this conversation.

HC in AB

The Latest Ipsos Reid Poll falls in line with these leadership numbers. It has the CPC at 39, the LPC at 30 and the NDP at 12. If the NDP internal numbers are also reflecting this, it is a good bet that they will avoid an election. It would put them back to around 10 to 15 seats and they will be back to where they were in the Audrey/Alexa years.

It would also indicate that Mr. Layton is getting past his "best before" date. Expect and NDP leadership change in the next year or so.

It would also appear to support my theory that the soft NDP vote is moving to the LPC to "Stop Harper" and that the soft LPC centre/centre right vote is moving to the CPC to "Stop a Coalition".

[updated Tue Sep 15 06:59:30 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 06:59

19 replies so far. Join this conversation.

HC in AB

I would suspect that Mr. Ignatieff is not looking back with great fondness on the day the the boys from Rosemount walked into his office a Harvard and said "We are from the Natural Governing Party of Canada and if you come home, we will make you Prime Minister of Canada" and he said "OK, that sounds like a nice way to finish my career".

[updated Tue Sep 15 08:53:46 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 08:53

2 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Crown___anchor_thumb Crown & Anchor

Like it or not people, I believe Craig Oliver (CTV) hit the nail right on right on the head; "Canadian affection for PM Harper is like a privates affection for a Drill Sergeant, there isn't much love, but there is respect".

[updated Tue Sep 15 09:58:07 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 09:58

31 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Diagnostician

The following points need to be considered when ranking Stephen Harper: He has defeated and survived Paul Martin and Stephane Dion. He is an experienced leader of a major political party, which resonates with a large segment of Canada's population, and which does little or no harm to the remainder of the population. He is a dull leader who can surprise with brilliant manouvres (Manley on Afghanistan, Doer to Washington). Those who label the 2008 election as unnecessary are flat out wrong, as before that election Harper needed the support of two other parties to survive, and now he needs only the support of one other party to survive, a major difference. Also consider how he has outwitted Ignatieff, who demanded changes on four fronts in June in exchange for Liberal support, and got a committee on E.I. as a result. That committee on purpose was allowed to fail, so the Liberals would not get credit for any changes, instead, the changes were tailored to play to the NDP's base, and will generate NDP support for the Conservatives.
These are all signs of a clever leader providing peace, order and good government, and should an election occur in the next few months, Harper will get a majority from anglophone Canada, which will lead to the demise of the Bloc, a result that will be positive for a strong, united Canada.

[updated Tue Sep 15 10:24:09 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 10:24

77 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Dennis (Second Thoughts)

These are interesting numbers. I wonder how they affect the national party standing, which I'm sure are to follow soon. If the trend continues, my guess is that Iggy won't be pleased.

[updated Tue Sep 15 10:42:21 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 10:42

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HarperS****k (Suspended)

Harper is hitting another new low in wasting our taxpayers money. He is erecting campaign style signs in my riding with Economic Action Plan crap. This is an outrage to Canadian Taxpayers that he is putting these signs up on our dime. He is clearly a scumbag and abusing our tax dollars for partisan purposes. There is no lw that this creep will no stoop to in his quest for power. He is a disgrace to Canada.

[updated Tue Sep 15 21:48:31 EDT 2009]

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15 Sep 21:48

32 replies so far. Join this conversation.

FromAlberta (Suspended)

It's official! The Harper government must agree to a coalition with the seperatists and the socialist idealogues he despises so much, or trigger an election. Ignatieff outfoxed Harper on this one and has placed the PM in this embarassing situation. Ignatieff has won this round soundly.

[updated Wed Sep 16 15:05:08 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 15:05

27 replies so far. Join this conversation.

Scotian

Harper has had a bad week. First he has to admit he and Flaherty have miscalculted the deficit, yet again, then Harper gets boxed in by Ignatieff and gets in bed with the separatists and socilaists. An embarassment for alll Tories. Now he gets a big snub by Obama. Obama gives him a paltry 42 minutes and has him greeted at the door by an underling. Clearly Harper is not liked by Obama, no matter how hard they try to pretend they are lefties. Obama's not buying the Harper hypocrisy.

[updated Wed Sep 16 17:59:22 EDT 2009]

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16 Sep 17:59

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westerner (suspended)

Harper is crushing Iggy on the leadership index. Not hard to understand when Iggy takes the summer off and has yet to establish any Liberal policy positions which were promised by him by June 2009

[updated Thu Sep 17 15:18:58 EDT 2009]

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17 Sep 15:18

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HC in AB

Nik

A question.

Do you (or other polling firms who's methodology that you may have knowledge of) adjust your published results to reflect the historical likelyhood of various age demographics to vote?

For example the, 18 to 25 year old cohort consistently polls in favor of the LPC/NDP/GP but (in my recollection, I stand to be corrected) only has about a 40% voter turnout. If an adjustment is not made and the persons polled accurately reflect the age demographic of the overall population, would the published results not overstate the likey election day support for the LPC/NDP/GP? Conversely, the 50 year old plus cohort are likely to have about a 70% or more voter turnout but consistently poll in favor of the CPC.

[updated Thu Sep 17 18:28:27 EDT 2009]

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17 Sep 18:28

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Crown___anchor_thumb Crown & Anchor

PSSSSST; the word on the street, Mr Ignatieff is wanting an election so the Liberals can make some progress in seat numbers, Iggy will take credit for rebuilding the party and exit Canada. Iggy saves face and he's back in Harrrrvarrrd before the 2010 fall semester.

[updated Fri Sep 18 08:40:14 EDT 2009]

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18 Sep 08:40

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RonaldODowd

The Nanos Report.

Congratulations! Just caught the premiere episode of TNR -- it was excellent. I look forward to many fine programs and encourage everyone to take it in.

By the way Nik, you're doing a fine job as moderator considering that you are not a trained journalist. Keep up the good work.

[updated Sun Sep 20 20:31:51 EDT 2009]

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20 Sep 20:31

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