With two days left in the campaign the latest CPAC Nanos tracking shows the Conservatives with a six point lead over the Liberals nationally (33% to 27%). Support for the NDP, after trending up for a few days has held steady at twenty two percent nationally. In battleground Ontario the Tories and Liberals remain in a tight race with only two points separating them in our latest tracking (Conservatives - 34% ; Liberals - 32%) with the NDP trending up to one in four (26%) in the province.
On the CPAC Nanos Leadership Index Stephen Harper has bounced back from the declines earlier this week and now holds a 30 point lead on Stephane Dion, with Jack Layton a further one point back (Harper - 87; Dion - 57; Layton - 56). On the best PM front, Harper (30%) is ten points ahead of Layton (20%) with Dion close behind at 17%).
With Thanksgiving upon us, today will be our final day in the field prior to the election with our last set of tracking numbers released Monday at 2 pm.
Tune in to Goldhawk Live with Dale Goldhawk tonight night at 7 pm (EST) on CPAC for a discussion of our latest polling results. For more detailed information on the methodology and the statistical results visit the Nanos Research website.
Methodology and Results
A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 500 eligible voters is interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,404 interviews. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of accuracy is ±2.6%, 19 times out of 20 for 1,404 random interviews.
Note: for the final three days of the tracking Nanos Research will be interviewing 500 eligible voters per evening (up from 400 per evening). As a result the margin of accuracy for the final three-day rolling sample of 1,500 eligible voters will be ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20.
The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the previous Nanos Research Survey completed on October 10, 2008.
Question: If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences? (First ranked reported)
Committed Voters - Canada (N=1,161, MoE ± 2.9%, 19 times out of 20)
- Conservative Party 33 (+1)
- Liberal Party 27 (-1)
- NDP 22 (NC)
- BQ 10% (NC)
- Green Party 9% (+1)
- Undecided 17% (-1)
Question: Of the following individuals, who do you think would make the best Prime Minister? [Rotate] (N=1,404 MoE ± 2.6%, 19 times out of 20)
- Conservative leader Stephen Harper 30% (+1)
- NDP leader Jack Layton 20% (-1)
- Liberal leader Stephane Dion 17% (-1)
- Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe 6% (+1)
- Green Party leader Elizabeth May 4% (NC)
- None of them 8% (NC)
- Unsure 15% (-1)
Question: Which of the federal leaders would you best describe as:
- The most trustworthy leader
- The most competent leader
- The leader with the best vision for Canada’s future
[Leadership Index Score - Daily roll-up of all three measures]
- Stephen Harper 87 (+2)
- Stephane Dion 57 (+9)
- Jack Layton 56 (-5)
- Elizabeth May 18 (+3)
- Gilles Duceppe 12 (+1)
What do you think?
Cheers, NJN
Remember to rate the views of others - to allow us to recognize the opinion leaders in our national conversation.
Individuals with the top ratings make it to Nik’s Leaderboard
Most Read Comments
Highest Rated Comments
More excellent results for the CPC with these numbers. The Ontario lead is holdi... more
Darryl (Ontario) 12 Oct 14:00
Trend is for a widening gap between Libs and Cons. Two days to election lib mom... more
fortescue (Ontario) 12 Oct 14:09
Merde Time for the NDP & Greens to move their vote to the Liberal Camp We... more
John B (Ontario) 12 Oct 14:50
I have always been very clear that I feel very strongly that people should vote ... more
HC in AB (Alberta) 12 Oct 17:58
Hey Merde: If you want a carbon tax that badly, you can pay mine for me.... more
eveable (Ontario) 12 Oct 18:57
In fairness - i think layton has been pretty true to his platform. He's held the... more
Foxer (British Columbia) 13 Oct 01:40
Comments
Darryl
More excellent results for the CPC with these numbers. The Ontario lead is holding and the NDP is edging up on the liberals.
The latest liberal hidden agenda smear campaign isn't working so far.
[updated Sun Oct 12 14:00:30 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 14:00
16 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
fortescue
Trend is for a widening gap between Libs and Cons. Two days to election lib momentum definately gone. Strong Canadian economic news combined with the dion Gaffe may be the turning point in this election. We will see Monday. Happy Thanksgiving
[updated Sun Oct 12 14:09:23 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 14:09
8 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
Mike Stokes
it's the weekend and the CP are going up what, a change. Good to see Canadians are coming to their senses. 6 point spread could yield more seats for the CP as the Libs are below their 06 number.
Jack for opposition divide the left!
[updated Sun Oct 12 14:19:01 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 14:19
3 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
Merde
Time for the NDP & Greens to move their vote to the Liberal Camp
We simply can't afford Steve 'Herbert Hoover' Harper Govt, minority or majority
Vote for a real Team
Vote Liberal
.
[updated Sun Oct 12 14:50:27 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 14:50
26 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
suedo
Undecided is still way up there...
I wonder will they vote?
[updated Sun Oct 12 16:04:48 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 16:04
10 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
suedo
Just curious - how many conservatives hang out here?
[updated Sun Oct 12 16:05:40 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 16:05
20 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
Mike Stokes
How many Liberals hang out here?.....nothing to steal so probably just a few.
[updated Sun Oct 12 16:55:28 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 16:55
suedo
That's one...
[updated Sun Oct 12 17:20:03 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 17:20
HC in AB
Judging by the quality of the discussion, there are a lot of people on this board who would say the CPC currently is most currently most aligned with their personal political philosophy, but these are not people who are blindly loyal to a "brand". These people do not hesitate to turf a party that abandons them, thus at one time the rise of the Reform/Alliance etc.
The rhetoric I see "from the other side" reflects a great deal of blind partisanship, bigotry and intolerance of of anyone who does not agree with them.
[updated Sun Oct 12 17:22:31 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 17:22
suedo
The rhetoric I see "from the other side" reflects a great deal of blind partisanship, bigotry and intolerance of of anyone who does not agree with them.
pot calling kettle black
[updated Sun Oct 12 17:25:57 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 17:25
HC in AB
I have always been very clear that I feel very strongly that people should vote "for something". They should vote for the party and/or candidate that most closely reflects their own view of the world. That is way our democratic system is supposed to work.
If you vote strategically to vote "against something" you will give the false appearance that your particular view of the world is under represented. The political system in this country will move policy toward where the trends are. Hence the move to fiscal responsibility on the part of the Liberals to head off the growth in the Alliance party.
This is the reason that I have suggested to my children, who are Gen-Y university students, who are Green/NDP supporters and had indicated that they wouldn't vote because "their guy" couldn't win, that if they want to change the country, they should vote with their heart and their passion. If there are enough citizens who vote the same view, political parties will over a series of election cycles move policy in that direction. NDP/Green supporters who hold their nose and vote "against Harper" by voting for the Liberals are only giving the appearance that the policies that they support have a negligble following.
As for the rhetoric, since I have been on this board, I have called a right wing, fundementalist Bush supporter, a neo-con, that I have a hidden agenda on abortion, gay marriage, that I want to privatize medicine etc. etc., I have been told that I "Hate Ontario" etc. etc.
None of these things are true, I do believe in a less centralized central government, less government intrusion in my life, more personal responsibility, reward for individual intitiative, lower taxes and so on.
Like most Canadians, I also believe in universal medical care, freedom of women to choose, gay marriage and a reasonable social safety net, and for the record, I am not a member of a fundamentalist religous group, but I do attend an old mainline denomination that is currently in the throes of discussing the blessing same-sex unions.
[updated Sun Oct 12 17:58:15 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 17:58
suedo
This appears to be a reasoned and honest viewpoint and one which I can respect. I agree and disagree with various points you make.
While it is important to move the agenda and policies of the party most closely aligned with one's own position - it is equally important to move away from that which is clearly opposite to one's position.
As parties campaign in what appears to be a minority result - the parties may agree to compromise on various areas of policy. One should always vote in a manner they feel may achieve a government that most closely resembles what they want.
In my opinion this does allow for strategic voting.
For my part - I have been called a Liberal, a socialist and a glue sniffing - screech drinking - lamb of Danny Williams. None of these statements are true but have been offered by those claiming to hold a Conservative viewpoint.
I gave my vote to Harper in the last election, When he lied about three significant policy areas in my province - he removed the possibility to ever recieve my vote again. That is not to say I will never vote Conservative again - but it would have to be a PC leader without any trace of reform upbringing.
I too believe in less centralized government as Ottawa controls our fishery and offshore oil and gas. It was Harper who also denied our province the ability to pass fallow field legislation in order to protect our resources from companies who might delay development. Harper also promised joint management of our fisheries - instead he held it close to Ottawa's chest. So as you can see Harper does not fulfill the reduction of Uncle Ottawa to Newfoundland and Labrador. I am not sure what you mean by less government intrusion in my life - I am assuming you mean you personally not province/country.
When somebody inserts Ottawa into examining and censoring films - I find that particularly intrusive.
I do believe that if Harper achieved a majority - a woman's right to choose in fact woman's rights may be negatively impacted. I also believe there would be intolerance to gays and the erosion of universal health care. I just do not trust him.
[updated Sun Oct 12 18:27:50 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 18:27
HC in AB
I can't say that I have any knowledge of glue, but from my personal experience, screech, on occasion, has had it's merits...:-).
[updated Sun Oct 12 18:36:55 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 18:36
suedo
Yes indeed - especially with BBQ'd Alberta beef....
:)
[updated Sun Oct 12 18:57:37 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 18:57
Thank you HC in AB,
It is good to see someone that doesn't treat politics like a sport, but thinks of it as a serious issue.
I remember when coke was a soft drink and a joint was a hard place to hang out. My flag was the Union Jack and My country was The Dominion of Canada. Gay was to be happy and English was the unofficial language. I was a proud Canadian.
Times have changed, I've always been conservative, I've voted for various parties for different reasons, I believe democrocy works if you vote for the policies. I have served my country under different governments; loyal all the way. I like the way Canada has turned out. I am a proud Canadian.
[updated Sun Oct 12 20:33:33 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 20:33
Bud the spud
Thank you for your calm and rational post. It is encouraging to see that level of discourse. Over the years I have voted for a variety of parties, and never worried about their chances of winning.
At the same time, I can see a limited value for strategic voting. If I rate candidate A a minus three, and I have two other choices on the ballot, one I rate a plus six and the other a plus seven, I think it makes more sense to vote for the plus six candidate if it appears that this candidate has a much stronger chance of winning.
The trouble with that scenario, though, is that it can be a self-fulfilling prophesy. I strongly believe that is the reason that the Progressive Conservatives under Joe Clark eventually lost out the the Reform/Alliance party. Voters just didn't think that Joe had a chance, so they voted for the conservative party that was their second choice.
Sometimes, though, a clear choice is evident. Sometimes a party of choice has a weak candidate who either is a sacrificial lamb or is an obvious failure of the vetting system. It's never happened to me, but if the party that I generally supported nominated a candidate like that, and there was a second-choice party with a strong candidate, and another party that I absolutely did not want to win, then I would consider voting strategically.
All the same, the ABC movement has me nervous, not because I support the Conservatives, but because it represents the opportunity to be too smart by half and create the opposite effect to that intended.
[updated Tue Oct 14 17:30:01 EDT 2008]
14 Oct 17:30
larryl
HC. If I didn't know any better I would say you are really a Liberal who is angry at his party for some perceived infraction . The last paragraph does not sound much like a Conservative or more specifically, a right wing Reformer that is running the party. When will you forgive the Grits for what you think they did that was any different than what the Tories did under Mulroney ???????????????
[updated Sat Oct 18 21:56:11 EDT 2008]
18 Oct 21:56
HC in AB
Decentralization of government, less government intrusion, more personal responsibility, reward for personal initiative, lower taxes... those are Conservative values my friend.
Universal medicare, the right to choose, at worst, ambivalance to gay marriage, a "reasonable social safety net".... these a values held by most Canadians and virtually all Conservatives that I know.
This is why the Liberal Party is dissappearing from the political spectrum, they are arrogant enough to think that they have lock on these values, when the only value that the Liberal Party has left is "power for the sake of power".
[updated Sun Oct 19 00:22:53 EDT 2008]
19 Oct 00:22
gohabs1 (Suspended for inappropriate post)
HC in AB......That's a load of bunk. The Liberals under Trudeau created the charter of rights and freedoms and enshrined them in the constitution. 1982 was the year in case you're memory is shorter than your foresight.
The Liberals have always found the center of Canada's values and have portrayed them well. The fact is right wing conservative values have not been approved by more than 75% of the Canadian population. Liberal values still hold and will define our country for many years to come.
As an aging nation we are becoming a little more conservative but that will change once the population grows with younger people through immigration mostly.
[updated Sun Oct 19 00:33:42 EDT 2008]
19 Oct 00:33
Stopthespin
Yeeha! It's a Conservative love-in!!
[updated Sun Oct 12 17:26:10 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 17:26
larryl
Suedo. A short list.Lex, ,MRM,Westerner,Stokes ,Peg,dgbeaulne,Hollin,Darryl, Evable and the leader of the pack Foxer. I have missed some no doubt but they are not hard to spot. Just look for spinning in their posts.
[updated Sun Oct 12 20:35:52 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 20:35
Zab
They're campaigning to convert the other people on this board- by shouting at them incessantly. It is after all these fourteen socialist commnist stalinist tree-hugger votes that are going to go conservative and usher in the coronation. Even the nerds can make a difference.
"I remember when coke was a soft drink and a joint was a hard place to hang out. My flag was the Union Jack and My country was The Dominion of Canada. Gay was to be happy and English was the unofficial language. I was a proud Canadian."
And now you;re proud and peelin' 'potatoes' in Idaho.
Keep it up. One day, like Sarah Palin, you'll hit the big time on SNL.
[updated Sun Oct 12 22:32:11 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 22:32
HC in AB
Zab, you do the Liberal "spin machine" proud. For those who may have missed it, here is the rest of novadog's post (20:33:33 EDT, Oct. 12, 200*)
"Times have changed, I've always been conservative, I've voted for various parties for different reasons, I believe democrocy works if you vote for the policies. I have served my country under different governments; loyal all the way. I like the way Canada has turned out. I am a proud Canadian"
You by hereby sentenced to a couple of years of peeling spuds for the Liberal caucus, shouldn't be much work, going to a pretty small group.
[updated Mon Oct 13 00:03:00 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 00:03
Zab
oh my god, I've been sentenced! - by a rabid republican on a discussion board.
[updated Mon Oct 13 00:21:14 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 00:21
Lots of them.
What many people don't realize is that the Liberals have changed. Choosing Dion was a very gutsy move.
I have met him twice.
This is what I wrote a friend after my first meeting with him on Sept 18:
"Went to the Dion Rally last night, which was jam packed. If people could only really hear him as opposed to the press filtered Harper version.
He was quite good, funny at times and made several great points. He spoke to the need for infrastructure renewal, education, healthcare, childcare, seniors issues, manufacturing, construction, general pollution, the economy and balanced federal budgets, shifting taxes, while moving to a greener more sustainable, less energy wasting society. This is his green shift, it is not the wild eyed proposal his denigraters are portraying.
When I hear others disparage him I have started asking - are you referring to the real Dion or Harper's version of Dion ?
The press for the most part are giving Harper far more coverage than Dion.
Unfortunate to be sure, because this election is really about the heart and soul of Canada.
Had a chance to talk to the Hon Garth Turner MP too at the rally, and to personally thank him for all his work on trying to fix the Income Trust fiasco. He replied we will keep it up, its far from over.
And yes, Dion is more than up to the job of being PM. More so than that repackaged sweater wearing lying Tubby control freak. "
[updated Mon Oct 13 03:38:37 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 03:38
suedo
Dion is not so bad - but I feel at times he is handled too much.
[updated Mon Oct 13 18:23:37 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 18:23
Virginia Peartree
How accurate will the polling be?
The polling firms generally do a pretty good job on election forecasting, Nik especially, but I'm wondering if circumstances and trends now in play might make their task particularly challenging now, leading to surprises on election night. Three things:
First, and most important, there seems to be an extraordinary interest in strategic voting against the Tories. My guess is that someone who supports, for example, the NDP but is contemplating voting Liberal based on a more competitive candidate in their riding would probably tell the pollster they would support the NDP, but end up voting Liberal. For the NDP and Liberals the results would probably wash, although the regional allocation may end up a bit skewed. If there actually were a distortion I would expect the prairie NDP vote to exceed the polls at the expense of the Liberals, but in Ontario the Liberals would gain against the NDP. However, nation wide we would see the Green party getting lower vote totals than projected and the Liberals and NDP would both gain.
Second, increasing cell phone use has got to be making polling more challenging. I have two twenty something nephews, living on their own, and neither has ever had a landline and therefore will never get polled. And both of them will be voting. Maybe it doesn't matter in that the profile of exclusively cell phone users who vote is no different than the general public who vote, but I have my suspicions.
And finally, also related to phones, call display is now almost universal, and it must be making it more challenging for pollsters to get anyone to answer the phone. I know many people who now leave it to their answering machines to deal with phone calls unless they know who is calling. Again, perhaps this doesn't matter if the voting profile of this cohort is the same as the general public's, but I suspect it isn't.
Nik, I would really like to know your thoughts on this.
[updated Sun Oct 12 16:15:36 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 16:15
18 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
This election is no horse race between the Conservatives and the Liberals or NDP, it`s a desparate race for second place, thats for sure.
As a given, most voters are resistant to wholesale government change, but in todays climate of foreboding, the drastic changes Dion and Layton are proposing don't quite add up, even with a calculator.
This perfect economic storm will compel voters to hold pat and dance with the one that brung them at the ballot box.
In light of the impending storm most pragmatic and concerned Canadians have started to batten down the hatches because nobody wants the ship to go down, nobody still breathing air, that is.
[updated Sun Oct 12 21:48:09 EDT 2008]
12 Oct 21:48
6 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
Its nice to see that Canada is waking up after the turkey dinner and realizing that Layton and Dion are nothing but power hungry. Harper is at most dilligant in his platform and hasnt flip flopped like the Liberals. Layton has a platform that will spend us into oblivion. Nice to see the polls not so reactive to the stock market and more to the Parties platforms and leaders.
[updated Mon Oct 13 00:48:48 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 00:48
4 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
I've met Dion twice, below is an exerpt from my letter to a friend:
"Letter to a friend: First hand impressions of Stéphane ~ Substance over style
Hi Joan,
Saw Stéphane and Michael Ignatieff in Stoney Creek again on Saturday Morning (27Sept) - have uploaded the You Tube of Michael's speech.
Unfortunately, Stéphane's speech was too big a file to upload here as we recorded it. CPAC has it, but you'll need to wade through Harper's speech too
http://www.cpac.ca/forms/index.asp?dsp=template&act=view3&pagetype=vod&lang=e&clipID=1959
Stéphane starts at 23:18 into the program - you might need to copy and paste the link. You can drag the scroll bar to 23:18 to save time (Watch for the press conference after the speech)
They were great speeches - Stéphane raised Income Trusts and that he would fix the mess of Harper & Flaherty's broken promise. He spoke of the need for infrastructure renewal, partnerships with municipalities, child care, seniors issues, manufacturing, the state of the economy, the Liberal record on solving the Federal Deficits, on youth sentencing and civility.
Spoke to Stéphane for about a minute or so, a long time given the press and number of people and timelines.
One, my impression is he is the genuine article, sincere, intelligent, strong and honourable with a firm and viable vision for this country. A person I have no problem supporting.
Second impression, I believe his hearing is far worse than even he believes it to be, for whenever I spoke his eyes would break from mine and he would read my lips before looking back into my eyes to answer. That easily explains his somewhat mangled English - he can't hear tonal inflections. He has a bit of a disability in hearing, tragically, because he really has a great message. A disability that, if he were in a wheelchair, no one would dare to mock him over. And remember, one of the greatest Presidents the US ever had was in a wheel chair (FDR).
Despite his difficulty with the english language, which is improving, his thinking and reasoning on his platform is sound and a lot of non Liberal Economists agree with him. He is the genuine article.
His first focus is on the economy and keeping it strong while harmonizing it with a lower energy consuming, more efficient and sustainable environmental plan.
This plan is far from radical and has been practiced by many Northern European Countries with success. There is so much disinformation planted by Tubby's gang of thugs. But the fact is, he is not reinventing the wheel - it is doable and necessary.
In fact Layton's Cap & Trade is exactly the kind of job destroying plan Dion is opposed to. Layton's soaking the Corps Tax plans - my god, what a disaster to employment that would be.
And what other leader would be so selfless as to share the stage and limelight at a rally with his past leadership rival Michael Ignatieff. And how well Stéphane and Michael work together to not upstage or outshine each other - this whole thing is a class act.
Michael's speech being shorter is on my You Tube tonight. It was the second time I met him in a week. Amazing person.
Had great conversations with Paddy Torsney (Burlington), former Mayor Larry Di Ianni (Hamilton East / Stoney Creek) and Tyler Banham (Hamilton Mtn) as well.
Touching story about Paddy that June witnessed: A developmentally challenged young man wanted June to take his picture with Stéphane as he was walking back from the press scrum on Saturday. June was already filming and was trying to figure out how to accommodate the request. Paddy, just ahead of Stéphane saw the situation and quickly interpreted it. Paddy looked at June, smiled, then took the camera from the disabled young man, pulled him beside Stéphane who stopped and put his arm around him and she stated clicking. What a sweetheart you have for a candidate in Paddy Torsney.
And what a great guy Stéphane was - he then spoke to him for a bit even though his timelines were so compressed by that time and his handlers were urging him on. And no, it was no cynical photo op - the press had moved to another location to catch his exit.
As I said before, he's the real thing.
ATB
John"
[updated Mon Oct 13 03:58:03 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 03:58
No replies yet. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
United Front - Ridiculous
To those who feel the non Conservative Parties should unite, particularly the Liberals & NDP the following points for your considerations:
From the Globe Comments: "Shades of Grey from Whitehorse, Canada writes: For those posters calling for the left to unite, the liberals of the recent past and the NDP have nothing in common. The Liberals have been (not so sure about Dion) the party of the centre, one of fiscal conservatism and social progressiveness. Layton is too busy making promises to think about where the money will come from."
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My Comment:
Exactly the point - I don't see where the Liberals and NDP have a commonality. One is centre as you say, one is left, quite far left actually.
If one really wants Harper - vote for him
If one wants a centrist party with an excellent front bench - Vote Liberal
If one really wants a Tax & Spend socialist party without a single economist on their bench - vote NDP
If one wants the Greens - why vote Green ? Vote Liberal (who are fiscally moderate and socially progressive with much of what the Greens want for the environment)
.
[updated Mon Oct 13 05:25:49 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 05:25
13 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
Canadians voters are apathetic and voter turnout will not grow, in fact it will be same or less than 2006. Less than 65% will mean trouble for the Liberal Party.
What does that mean? What are the big changes from 2006?
Assuming Nanos is as accurate again.
The gap is the same with 6% lead for the CPC.
The trend is up in the last week of the campaign by the CPC increasing in their support.
Compared to 2006
The CPC party is down 3% in popular vote.
The Liberal party is down 3% in popular vote
The NDP party is up in popular vote 5%
The Green party is up in popular 5%.
The Bloc is the same at 10% in Quebec.
The battleground ridings 45-70 where splits were close 2 way or 3 way races might yield some very interesting swings.
Each party that fails to energize its machine and bring out their base will have a very big problem.
The NDP with the best machine in getting support out has the biggest gain in support so they stand to make Tuesday very interesting in seat gains. (Ekos Polls support that)
Under Dion the once mighty liberal machine is again in "saving the furniture" mode and stand to lose the biggest number of seats.
The CPC have planned this next campaign for a long time and stand to gain some seats in close races in Ontario at the expense of Quebec.
http://www.ekoselection.com/index.php/2008/10/daily-tracking-october-10-2008/
[updated Mon Oct 13 08:33:12 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 08:33
24 replies so far. Join this conversationHide this conversation.
On McCain's Negative Tone
http://www.theseventen.com/
I find the article very informative and reminds me of the Liberal Campaign. Agreed?
[updated Mon Oct 13 12:25:59 EDT 2008]
13 Oct 12:25
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