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Nik on the Numbers is about polling, politics and public policy in Canada and is an open dialogue space for me to post the latest Nanos polls and for you to comment on those results and our political landscape. In this dialogue space, stats, analysis and the views of Canadians intersect.
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As many of you know, Nanos conducts weekly tracking on the federal political scene. Our tracking ranges from the ballot to accessible voters to the perceptions of the leaders. This is rolled up into the weekly Nanos Party Power Index, which is released every Wednesday. Our internal ballot tracking numbers are for our corporate and non-profit clients (Nanos has no political parties as clients). Periodically, we will be sharing our ballot tracking numbers with broader audiences. With the Speech from the Throne and the events of the past few days related to the Senate controversy, this is one of those times.
Although many are fixated on the ballot numbers, focusing on the accessible voter pool of voters for the parties can actually be more informative, especially between elections. In this case, the research suggests that in June, the federal Liberals did quite well in terms of accessible voters, as did the New Democrats. There has been a drop in accessible voters for both parties, while the Conservative potential remains generally unchanged through the whole period.
For most elections, leadership is a critical factor to voters. To that end, Nanos conducted research to explore the views of Canadians on a series of nine potential leadership attributes.
Being honest rates the highest in terms of being an ideal political leader, whereas having strong communication skills is seen of highest importance in terms of being successful political leader. Making decisions in the best interests of their political party rates the lowest for both in terms of the ideal or successful political leader according to Canadians.
This research is being presented by Nik Nanos at the Banff Forum this week.
For a detailed review of the survey tables, please visit the Nanos Research website at http://www.nanosresearch.com.
A Nanos RDD Crowdsource random survey of 1,000 Canadians was conducted between August 18th and 22nd, 2013. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone through the proprietary Nanos Crowdsource sample and administered a survey online. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted using the latest Census data. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
We are in year nine of our tracking study with the State University of New York at Buffalo (SUNY-UB). The Nanos-UB North American monitor looks at the views of Canadians and Americans on border and security issues and co-operation.
Of note, the survey was completed at a time of focus on speculated intervention in Syria by the US. A review of the long term tracking of the perceptions of Canadians’ human rights alignment among Canada’s major trading partners suggests that the US has taken a significant current image hit in Canada as a result of US speculation of an intervention in Syria. The percentage of Canadians who said that the US was the country most aligned with Canada on human rights issues has dropped from 49 percent to 27 percent over the past year.
A Nanos RDD Crowdsource random survey of 1,000 Canadians was conducted between August 18th and 22nd, 2013. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone through the proprietary Nanos Crowdsource sample and administered a survey online. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted using the latest Census data. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Between August 29th and 31st, 2013, a random representative online survey of 1,000 Americans was conducted. Results were statistically checked and weighted using the latest Census data.
The latest numbers related to the Senate reveal that almost one half of Canadians (49%) would like to see the Senate reformed, followed by 41% who would like to see it abolished (six percent said it should be left unchanged).